Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
12 signals across 1 market · $320,287 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 6-wallet Yes cluster
Six wallets piled into Yes within a minute for $35.7k, including at least two proven profitable cross-market traders, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite this being a speculative long-dated market.
$35,651Score: 12.0 - Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
A wallet from a 5-wallet funded cluster with a 94% win rate is taking the No side in a high-volume novelty market at 16¢ Yes, suggesting disciplined, coordinated conviction rather than random whale flow.
$3,708Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 7.3 - High-win bettor buys Yes
A large $92k equivalent BUY Yes from a high-win-rate wallet across related alien-disclosure markets is worth watching, though the wallet’s negative P&L and near-certain past wins temper confidence.
$91,944Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0 - 97% win-rate bettor fades Yes
A bettor with a 97% win rate sold Yes in a high-volume spike, which translates to a buyable No position at 83¢ on a liquid headline market.
$2,922Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.2 - 92% winner buying YES
A high-win-rate wallet is taking the contrarian Yes side by selling No, though the stake is modest relative to this very liquid market.
$1,410Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0 - Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.34M profit just put $42k into No at 84¢ on a major, liquid narrative market.
$42,000Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.0 - 90% winner buys Yes
A highly proven wallet with a 90% win rate and $1.4M profit just took a large directional position by effectively buying Yes at 19¢ in a major market.
$76,820Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.0 - Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
A high-volume trader with an 84% win rate across 891 resolved bets just bought $25.2k of NO in a liquid novelty market, making this a credible follow despite only one signal firing.
$25,200Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 4.0 - Sharp bettor buying Yes
A wallet with a strong proven edge is opening a fresh $2.1k Yes position at 21¢ in a liquid, tightly priced market, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.0 - Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xed107a…d2e5$118,820 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 89% wins
- 0xfb745c…1513$91,944 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x8c80d2…02c3$31,731 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x78ad03…45cc$25,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xa9e64c…1dc2$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xcb0880…b630$3,900 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x244acf…07c8$3,708 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x58e213…dfea$2,922 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xe8e0d6…4736$1,410 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins