Part of: Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,300.
Categories: maduro, Politics, Venezuela, Geopolitics, Trump
Notable Trades
96% winner buying No
Despite only a weak low-activity signal, the wallet has a strong resolved record and made a sizable No buy equal to 71% of the market's 24h volume.
- This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved bets and is profitable overall.
- They bought $4.3K of No at 86¢, about 71% of the market’s 24h volume.
- The market is fairly quiet, so this size suggests real conviction against a release.
$4,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x60db...9892 — Yes, $18,394
- 0x8f03...64d6 — Yes, $12,742 (95% win rate)
- 0x3eae...e2ed — No, $10,070 (96% win rate)
- 0x4cb5...b536 — No, $8,625
- 0x6fe1...8634 — No, $8,600
- 0xd359...d361 — Yes, $7,200
- 0x0dde...94c3 — No, $6,495 (86% win rate)
- 0xb886...81b3 — Yes, $5,369 (59% win rate)
- 0xdf70...5e92 — Yes, $5,000 (80% win rate)
- 0x5a56...adab — No, $3,430 (70% win rate)
