This bettor has won 52 of 53 resolved trades and is up $18.7K lifetime. Their $1.1K No buy was about 59% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market. Entry at 89¢ suggests a conservative copy-trade with limited upside but a strong historical bettor behind it.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved bets and is profitable overall. They bought $4.3K of No at 86¢, about 71% of the market’s 24h volume. The market is fairly quiet, so this size suggests real conviction against a release.

Part of: Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,315.

Categories: maduro, Politics, Venezuela, Geopolitics, Trump

Notable Trades

87% winner buying cheap YES

A high-win-rate wallet with positive lifetime P&L made a directional Yes bet that exceeded the market's recent daily volume.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $10,243 lifetime.
The trade is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢, below the current 13–14¢ market level.
The $2,947 bet is larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.

$2,947 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

98% winner buying NO

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on a quiet market despite the alert's low raw severity.

This bettor has won 52 of 53 resolved trades and is up $18.7K lifetime.
Their $1.1K No buy was about 59% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
Entry at 89¢ suggests a conservative copy-trade with limited upside but a strong historical bettor behind it.

$1,068 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

96% winner buying No

Despite only a weak low-activity signal, the wallet has a strong resolved record and made a sizable No buy equal to 71% of the market's 24h volume.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved bets and is profitable overall.
They bought $4.3K of No at 86¢, about 71% of the market’s 24h volume.
The market is fairly quiet, so this size suggests real conviction against a release.

$4,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?$8,315 tracked3 signalsmaduroPoliticsVenezuelaGeopoliticsTrump

Yes

5¢

95¢

Yes

5¢

95¢

Price History — “No”

98¢

96¢

93¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades