Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,034.

Categories: Elections, Magyar, Politics, Hungary Election, Global Elections, Orban, Hungary, Fidesz

Notable Trades

New wallet betting NO

A very new wallet has made repeated sizable bets against Tisza in a relatively thin election market, suggesting fresh conviction worth monitoring despite no track record yet.

  • This 9-day-old wallet has already been flagged twice for sizable bets, with $2,068 total across alerts
  • The bet went into a quieter market with just $3.3k of 24-hour volume and a wide 10-point spread
  • They bought No at 40¢ while the market now shows 36¢, so the position is already slightly in the money

$1,034 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x1d3e...5c4e — Outcome 59194319, $4,247 (0% win rate)
  2. 0xa6e0...a72b — Outcome 59194319, $2,866
  3. 0x9e36...508f — Outcome 59194319, $1,735
  4. 0xf2f6...5817 — Outcome 59194319, $1,000 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x1ec4...048e — Outcome 59194319, $983
  6. 0x4b15...e32d — Outcome 10366581, $848
  7. 0x1400...ffd6 — Outcome 59194319, $782
  8. 0x7578...69d4 — Outcome 59194319, $509
  9. 0xeb1d...6c0b — Outcome 59194319, $500
  10. 0xa583...b44b — Outcome 59194319, $470

Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?

Resolved$1,034 tracked1 signalElectionsMagyarPoliticsHungary ElectionGlobal ElectionsOrbanHungaryFidesz

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Notable Trades

Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?

11d ago

$1,034 on No at 40¢