Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?
8 signals across 3 markets · $40,269 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tisza wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet No cluster
Three wallets piled nearly $19k into No during a massive volume spike, and one profitable new wallet appears to be leading the move in a market with only moderate liquidity.
$18,773Score: 9.0 - Profitable thesis trader flips long
A proven profitable cross-market trader flipped into Yes at 82¢ just before a major breakout to 91% in a politically meaningful market, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine flow.
$2,694Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 6.0 - Profitable election specialist flips long
Profitable high-volume political trader with a strong cross-market track record flipped into a fresh Yes position during an extreme volume spike, making this worth watching despite the modest size.
$1,896Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 5.9 - Profitable new election whale
A profitable new wallet is repeatedly making large election bets, and this buy came during an exceptional volume and price surge in a major Hungary seats market.
$8,905Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 5.5 - Profitable new wallet pressing NO
A very new wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets, is already profitable, and is adding another meaningful position in a politically relevant market at a liquid price.
$1,696Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.0 - New wallet betting NO
A very new wallet has made repeated sizable bets against Tisza in a relatively thin election market, suggesting fresh conviction worth monitoring despite no track record yet.
$1,034Score: 5.0 - Profitable trader flipped bullish
A profitable, highly active political trader flipped from a prior No position to a fresh Yes buy at 59¢ before a major repricing to 85%, making this a strong thesis-driven trade worth surfacing.
$4,177Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.8 - 87% win-rate political bettor
A proven sharp wallet with an 87% win rate is taking a fresh cross-market position on Tisza underperformance, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
$1,095Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x1fee90…ed5e$8,905 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$8,767 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 68% wins
- 0xc4fd6e…fe19$1,696 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x784fee…5df9$1,095 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0xa6e056…a72b$1,034 · 1 market · 1 alert