Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?
8 signals across 3 markets · $40,269 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on how many seats TISZA will win in Hungary’s 2026 parliamentary election, with markets for at least 100, 120, and 130 seats. PolySpotter has flagged $40,269 in smart money activity across the event, including a 3-wallet No cluster, long flips from profitable election traders, and a new whale entering the trade.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet No cluster
Three wallets piled nearly $19k into No during a massive volume spike, and one profitable new wallet appears to be leading the move in a market with only moderate liquidity.
$18,773Score: 9.0 - Profitable thesis trader flips long
A proven profitable cross-market trader flipped into Yes at 82¢ just before a major breakout to 91% in a politically meaningful market, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine flow.
$2,694Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.0 - Profitable election specialist flips long
Profitable high-volume political trader with a strong cross-market track record flipped into a fresh Yes position during an extreme volume spike, making this worth watching despite the modest size.
$1,896Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 5.9 - Profitable new election whale
A profitable new wallet is repeatedly making large election bets, and this buy came during an exceptional volume and price surge in a major Hungary seats market.
$8,905Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.5 - Profitable new wallet pressing NO
A very new wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets, is already profitable, and is adding another meaningful position in a politically relevant market at a liquid price.
$1,696Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.0 - New wallet betting NO
A very new wallet has made repeated sizable bets against Tisza in a relatively thin election market, suggesting fresh conviction worth monitoring despite no track record yet.
$1,034Score: 5.0 - Profitable trader flipped bullish
A profitable, highly active political trader flipped from a prior No position to a fresh Yes buy at 59¢ before a major repricing to 85%, making this a strong thesis-driven trade worth surfacing.
$4,177Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.8 - 87% win-rate political bettor
A proven sharp wallet with an 87% win rate is taking a fresh cross-market position on Tisza underperformance, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
$1,095Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x1fee90…ed5e$8,905 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$8,767 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 72% wins
- 0xc4fd6e…fe19$1,696 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x784fee…5df9$1,095 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xa6e056…a72b$1,034 · 1 market · 1 alert
FAQs
What are the Hungary TISZA seats prediction markets?
These markets let traders bet on whether TISZA will win at least 100, 120, or 130 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in the 2026 parliamentary election.
What is the smart money doing on TISZA’s seat total?
PolySpotter has tracked 8 smart money signals totaling $40,269 across the event. Recent alerts include profitable election traders flipping long, a profitable thesis trader turning bullish, and a new election whale entering the market.
Are smart money traders bullish or bearish on TISZA?
The signals are mixed. Some profitable traders have flipped long on TISZA seat thresholds, while PolySpotter also flagged a 3-wallet No cluster and a profitable new wallet pressing NO.
When does the Hungary TISZA seats market resolve?
The event is tied to Hungary’s parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, 2026. If the relevant election results are not definitively known by October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the markets resolve to No.
How is this different from a single TISZA odds market?
This is an event hub covering multiple related Polymarket markets. Instead of tracking only one outcome, it shows odds and smart money activity across several TISZA seat thresholds: 100+, 120+, and 130+ seats.