Part of: Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,337.

Categories: Oil, Iran, Yemen, Houthis, Politics, Geopolitics, Saudi Arabia

Notable Trades

Profitable trader caught a 46¢ entry

A profitable high-volume trader bought Yes at 46¢ before a sharp rally, supported by a substantial market price move, though the current 92¢ price leaves little room to copy.

This trader is up $87,772 across 1,257 resolved bets and bought Yes at 46¢ before it rose to 92¢.
The market moved sharply in the same direction, but the current 92¢ price is well above the trader’s entry.

$1,327 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Existing-position buyer ahead of a sharp rise

The trader added to an existing Yes position at 75¢ before a 29-point price rise, though their track record does not show clear odds-beating skill.

This bettor added to an existing Yes position at 75¢ before the market rose to 92¢.
The trade coincided with a 29-point jump in Yes pricing, but the wallet’s 63% win rate does not clearly beat its average winning odds.

$1,034 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable bettor shifts bearish

A consistently profitable bettor is selling Yes while holding No, reinforcing a bearish position as the market has fallen.

This bettor has won 80% of 108 resolved trades and is up $38,116 overall.
They sold Yes at 60¢ while already holding No, aligning with the market’s 20.5% weekly decline.

$1,105 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial trader trimming No

A proven, highly profitable trader is trimming an existing No position rather than opening a fresh Yes bet, so the activity is worth tracking but should not be read as strong new conviction.

This bettor has won 80% of 112 resolved positions and is up $190,681.
They sold part of a large No position entered at 25¢, so this looks like profit-taking rather than a fresh Yes bet.
They also traded across three markets in this event, totaling about $4,104.

$2,559 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable bettor adding to Yes

A proven profitable bettor with a 78% win rate is adding to an existing Yes position despite high current odds.

This bettor has won 35 of 45 resolved bets and is up $19,097 overall.
They added $1,800 to an existing Yes position at 76¢, signaling continued conviction.

$4,512 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable bettor adding to Yes

A proven profitable bettor with a 78% win rate is adding to an existing Yes position despite high current odds.

This bettor has won 35 of 45 resolved bets and is up $19,097 overall.
They added $1,800 to an existing Yes position at 76¢, signaling continued conviction.

$1,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%