Part of: Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,140.
Categories: World, Geopolitics, Middle East, Israel, Politics, Earn 4%
Notable Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30?
A proven profitable 77% win-rate trader sold out of the heavy favorite in a major politics market, aligning with a broad cross-market thesis and making this a notable contrarian position worth watching.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $25.3k across $590k of volume
- They sold No at 88¢, a contrarian exit against a heavily favored outcome in a major political market
- This wallet has traded 145 related markets across 115 events, showing a repeatable event-driven strategy
$12,144 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Netanyahu out by June 30?
A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this Netanyahu event, including a fresh $4k buy on Yes at 12¢, suggesting concentrated conviction on a low-probability political outcome.
- This wallet is only 10 days old but has already made 5 flagged bets totaling $26k
- They just bought Yes at 12¢, a low price that implies they think Netanyahu leaving is meaningfully more likely than the market does
- The bettor is active across 2 related markets in the same event, pointing to a focused political thesis rather than a one-off trade
$3,996 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 11054022, $109,611 (69% win rate)
- 0x58f5...be7b — Outcome 11054022, $102,501
- 0xa8b9...6b7c — Outcome 11054022, $64,747
- 0x30aa...2bdd — Outcome 11054022, $61,204
- 0x49ef...7ed8 — Outcome 11054022, $51,643
- 0x4e25...d7a7 — Outcome 54062452, $25,470 (65% win rate)
- 0x10b3...40d4 — Outcome 11054022, $20,000 (54% win rate)
- 0xd391...3be5 — Outcome 11054022, $17,053
- 0x893a...29dc — Outcome 11054022, $16,892 (58% win rate)
- 0x784f...5df9 — Outcome 11054022, $16,000 (86% win rate)
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