Part of: Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by June 30?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,140.

Categories: World, Geopolitics, Middle East, Israel, Politics, Earn 4%

Notable Trades

Netanyahu out by June 30?

A proven profitable 77% win-rate trader sold out of the heavy favorite in a major politics market, aligning with a broad cross-market thesis and making this a notable contrarian position worth watching.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $25.3k across $590k of volume
  • They sold No at 88¢, a contrarian exit against a heavily favored outcome in a major political market
  • This wallet has traded 145 related markets across 115 events, showing a repeatable event-driven strategy

$12,144 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Netanyahu out by June 30?

A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this Netanyahu event, including a fresh $4k buy on Yes at 12¢, suggesting concentrated conviction on a low-probability political outcome.

  • This wallet is only 10 days old but has already made 5 flagged bets totaling $26k
  • They just bought Yes at 12¢, a low price that implies they think Netanyahu leaving is meaningfully more likely than the market does
  • The bettor is active across 2 related markets in the same event, pointing to a focused political thesis rather than a one-off trade

$3,996 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9648...6825 Outcome 11054022, $109,611 (69% win rate)
  2. 0x58f5...be7b Outcome 11054022, $102,501
  3. 0xa8b9...6b7c Outcome 11054022, $64,747
  4. 0x30aa...2bdd Outcome 11054022, $61,204
  5. 0x49ef...7ed8 Outcome 11054022, $51,643
  6. 0x4e25...d7a7 Outcome 54062452, $25,470 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x10b3...40d4 Outcome 11054022, $20,000 (54% win rate)
  8. 0xd391...3be5 Outcome 11054022, $17,053
  9. 0x893a...29dc Outcome 11054022, $16,892 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x784f...5df9 Outcome 11054022, $16,000 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

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Portugal or France wins World Cup

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Bitcoin avoids mid-June range

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PSG won't win

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MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May

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Hormuz traffic stays disrupted

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US Iran peace deal happens

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Netanyahu out by June 30?

ResolvedNetanyahu out by...?$16,140 tracked2 signalsWorldGeopoliticsMiddle EastIsraelPoliticsEarn 4%
Price History — “No
102¢
100¢
97¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Netanyahu out by June 30?

100d ago

$12,144 on Yes at 12¢

Netanyahu out by June 30?

100d ago

$3,996 on Yes at 12¢

Related Theses