Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

27 smart money signals detected, totaling $85,642.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

Sharp oil thesis trader

Sharp 81% lifetime winner with $590k profit is expressing a broader crude-oil thesis across 9 related markets.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $590k lifetime.
  • They have traded 9 related crude-oil markets with about $88.8k committed, showing a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Selling No is equivalent to buying Yes around 11¢, a long-shot bet that oil hits $105 by June 2026.

$3,010 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp oil thesis trader

Sharp 81% lifetime winner with $590k profit is expressing a broader crude-oil thesis across 9 related markets.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $590k lifetime.
  • They have traded 9 related crude-oil markets with about $88.8k committed, showing a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Selling No is equivalent to buying Yes around 11¢, a long-shot bet that oil hits $105 by June 2026.

$1,063 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

81% winner oil ladder

Sharp profitable wallet with an 81% resolved win rate is taking a cross-market bullish crude oil position across 9 related markets.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $590K lifetime.
  • They have positioned across 9 related crude oil markets with about $90K in total exposure.
  • Selling No at 83¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 17¢, implying a high-upside oil spike bet.

$2,495 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Proven oil thesis trader

Sharp profitable wallet with an 81% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes on a crude oil threshold market while running a large cross-market oil thesis.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $575K lifetime.
  • They have traded 9 related oil markets in this event with nearly $89K positioned.
  • Selling No at 74¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 26¢.

$4,462 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought $10k of Yes as part of a $33k four-market crude-oil thesis with recent price momentum.

  • This bettor has a long record across related markets, with 177 resolved bets and $258,937 in lifetime profit.
  • They are building a broader crude-oil thesis, with $33,077 spread across 4 markets in the same event.
  • The market has moved toward Yes today, and this trade entered at 40¢ for a high-upside macro bet.

$10,089 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%

Sharp macro trader buying NO

A highly profitable 81% win-rate trader is taking a sizable No position as part of a broad cross-market oil thesis.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570K lifetime.
  • They have bet across 9 related markets in this event, totaling $82.7K in exposure.
  • Entry at 74¢ suggests they see crude staying below $105 as underpriced despite already-favored No odds.

$2,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp cross-market oil trader

Sharp, profitable cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is adding to a broader oil thesis across 9 related markets by buying No at 78¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
  • They have $82.7k positioned across 9 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Buying No at 78¢ backs crude staying below $105 despite recent market movement.

$2,184 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

81% winner oil thesis

Sharp wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and $570k profit is adding a bearish oil position as part of a large cross-market crude thesis.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.6M traded across 156 related markets.
  • This is part of a larger crude oil thesis: 9 markets and $78k positioned in the same event.

$1,128 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

$260K oil thesis bettor

A profitable wallet is expressing a broad crude-oil thesis, with $260K placed across 13 related markets and a fresh BUY No at 70¢.

  • This wallet is up $257K lifetime and has traded over $12.5M across resolved markets.
  • They have placed $260K across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad view on oil staying below key levels.
  • This No buy lines up with momentum: Yes odds are down 12 points today and 6 points this week.

$4,177 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%

Profitable macro cross-market bettor

Profitable wallet has built a $258k cross-market crude-oil thesis across 13 related markets and is adding Yes exposure here.

  • This wallet is up $257k lifetime and has traded over $12.6M on Polymarket.
  • They have built a $258k position across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad macro thesis.
  • Selling No at 71¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 29¢, slightly above the current 28¢ market price.

$3,004 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7a0d...53f7 Outcome 53780290, $30,101 (43% win rate)
  2. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Outcome 53780290, $25,638 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xf6b0...b8dc Outcome 53780290, $15,753 (25% win rate)
  4. 0x7a38...d6ab Outcome 53780290, $14,446 (60% win rate)
  5. 0xf9b7...60a4 Outcome 53780290, $8,780 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x0d02...5e23 Outcome 53780290, $6,175
  7. 0xf9eb...f08d Outcome 53780290, $5,820
  8. 0x1925...4654 Outcome 53780290, $5,451 (44% win rate)
  9. 0x04b9...79e0 Outcome 53780290, $5,000 (70% win rate)
  10. 0x7fc6...7306 Outcome 53780290, $4,111

Related Theses

Calendar arbitrage on talks

Covers 16 related markets

Crude oil market arbitrage

Covers 11 related markets

WTI stays between $90 and $105

Covers 5 related markets

Hormuz blockade persists

Covers 9 related markets

Iran peace deal won’t happen

Covers 12 related markets

Iran closes airspace mid-May

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 11 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Iran deal by mid-June

Covers 13 related markets

Iran surrenders uranium in May

Covers 4 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

ResolvedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$85,642 tracked27 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

35d ago

$3,010 on Yes at 11¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

36d ago

$1,063 on Yes at 11¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

37d ago

$2,495 on Yes at 17¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

38d ago

$4,462 on Yes at 26¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

38d ago

$10,089 on Yes at 40¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

39d ago

$2,220 on No at 74¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

39d ago

$2,184 on No at 78¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

40d ago

$1,128 on No at 81¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

40d ago

$4,177 on No at 70¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

41d ago

$3,004 on Yes at 29¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

41d ago

$7,737 on No at 70¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

41d ago

$2,129 on No at 71¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

41d ago

$3,497 on No at 65¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

41d ago

$1,692 on No at 62¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

41d ago

$2,353 on No at 62¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

41d ago

$1,690 on No at 58¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

43d ago

$1,441 on No at 71¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

45d ago

$1,787 on No at 55¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

46d ago

$1,534 on Yes at 44¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

47d ago

$12,158 on No at 63¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

50d ago

$1,278 on No at 71¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

51d ago

$5,097 on No at 69¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

51d ago

$2,832 on No at 66¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

52d ago

$2,400 on Yes at 40¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

52d ago

$2,079 on No at 63¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

56d ago

$1,058 on No at 63¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

56d ago

$1,047 on No at 68¢

Related Theses

Calendar arbitrage on talks
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 16 related markets
US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…
Crude oil market arbitrage
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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) …Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH)…Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH)…
WTI stays between $90 and $105
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
Hormuz blockade persists
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Will Donald Trump announce tha…Will Donald Trump announce tha…Will Donald Trump announce tha…
Iran peace deal won’t happen
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US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Iran closes airspace mid-May
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Iran closes its airspace by Ju…Iran closes its airspace by Ma…Iran closes its airspace by Ma…
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 11 related markets
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…
Iran deal by mid-June
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US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…
Iran surrenders uranium in May
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 4 related markets
Iran agrees to surrender enric…Iran agrees to surrender enric…Iran agrees to surrender enric…