Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month Crude Oil (CL) futures will reach or exceed $105 on any trading day by June 30, 2026. PolySpotter tracks live market activity and smart money signals, with $4,479 in tracked smart money and recent sharp buying on both Yes and No sides.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,585.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

Sharp oil bettor buying Yes

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is effectively buying Yes at 40¢ while building a broader cross-market crude oil thesis.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $519K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.1M deployed across 140 related markets.
  • This is part of a broader 6-market oil position worth $27K, not a one-off bet.

$2,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable sharp buying No

Sharp wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate and +$519k lifetime P&L bought No despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $519k lifetime.
  • They bought No at 63¢ after Yes dropped 13% today and 36% this week.
  • The bet backs continued skepticism that crude oil reaches $105 by end of June 2026.

$2,079 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

92% winner buying No

Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on the crude oil $105 market at 63¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $10.5K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 63¢, and the market has already moved to 66¢ in their favor.
  • Oil $105 Yes has fallen sharply, down about 40% over the past day.

$1,058 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on a relatively quiet crude oil market.

  • This bettor has won 23 of 25 resolved bets and is up $10.5K lifetime.
  • They bought $1.0K of No at 68¢ in a market with only $4.4K traded over 24 hours.
  • Entry at 68¢ implies they see crude oil staying below $105 as the clear favorite.

$1,047 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe734...4f0c No, $12,758 (44% win rate)
  2. 0x7a38...d6ab Yes, $9,587 (60% win rate)
  3. 0xdf68...20d8 No, $4,381 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x86e9...4cdf No, $3,243 (99% win rate)
  5. 0xe2b1...7d2a No, $2,858 (45% win rate)
  6. 0x40cf...d21d Yes, $2,785 (49% win rate)
  7. 0xe738...df65 Yes, $2,382 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xd426...334a No, $2,100 (41% win rate)
  9. 0x8888...0b39 No, $1,999
  10. 0x196b...6952 Yes, $1,589

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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

32dWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$6,585 tracked4 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
37¢
No
63¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “No
69¢
45¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

15h ago

$2,400 on Yes at 40¢

40¢37¢3¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

23h ago

$2,079 on No at 63¢

63¢63¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

4d ago

$1,058 on No at 63¢

63¢63¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

4d ago

$1,047 on No at 68¢

68¢63¢5¢

Related Theses