Part of: Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,665.

Categories: World, Global Elections, Swedish, Elections, World Elections, Sweden, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, Politics, Main Election, Sweden Parliamentary Elections, Sweden Elections

Notable Trades

97% win-rate bettor adds to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding $3,000 to an existing No position.

This bettor wins 97% of trades (141 of 145) and has earned $2,612 overall.
They are adding $3,000 to an existing No position at 85¢, reinforcing conviction that Kristersson will not be appointed.
The No side is currently priced at 86%, with the market recently falling 22% in one day.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp bettor re-enters No

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate is re-entering No at 77%, with the market subsequently moving to 86%.

This bettor has won 82% of 283 resolved trades and earned $1.48 million in P&L.
They placed $1,247 on No at 77%, and No has since risen to 86%.
The trader has followed this cross-market strategy across 93 events and 125 markets.

$1,247 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor takes profit on Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a strong 78% win rate exited Yes for a gain, though the trade appears more like routine profit-taking than fresh conviction.

This bettor has won 78% of 50 resolved positions and is up nearly $48,000.
The wallet sold Yes at 24¢ after entering around 17¢, locking in a profit as the market moved higher.
The equivalent No entry is 76¢, but the sale may reflect position management rather than a strong new No thesis.

$1,404 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor joins four-wallet No cluster

Four wallets put $7,014 behind No, including a bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge at comparable odds.

Four wallets aligned on No with $7,014 of buying or equivalent No exposure.
One bettor wins 78% of 50 resolved positions, is up $47,987, and has historically bought at roughly 36¢.
The market has moved 8 percentage points toward No over the past day, corroborating the directional flow.

$7,014 on No

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Next Prime Minister of Sweden$12,665 tracked4 signalsWorldGlobal ElectionsSwedishElectionsWorld ElectionsSwedenRewards 20, 4.5, 50PoliticsMain ElectionSweden Parliamentary ElectionsSweden Elections

Yes

29¢

71¢

Yes

29¢

71¢

Price History — “No”

81¢

73¢

65¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades