Part of: Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,500.

Categories: World Elections, Elections, Global Elections, putin, Russia, World, Politics

Notable Trades

New wallet hit early

A brand-new wallet with early profits put $3.5k into a niche Russian election market, including a large No buy that has already moved sharply in its favor.

  • This wallet is under 2 days old, already has 5 positions, and is up $295 so far.
  • The biggest leg was a $2,000 No buy at 44¢, now marked around 93¢.
  • The market is niche and long-dated, so a $3.5k position suggests unusually strong conviction.

$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,225,373
  2. 0x23d8...0288 — Yes, $125,932 (81% win rate)
  3. 0x0826...0b32 — Yes, $83,837 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x6575...b198 — Yes, $77,077 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x2b9d...adc0 — Yes, $73,085 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x6139...6b7a — Yes, $53,974 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x2ccc...664b — Yes, $47,000
  8. 0x6bad...4d53 — Yes, $45,000
  9. 0x34cb...7588 — Yes, $41,714
  10. 0x7ed0...de3e — Yes, $40,671

Related Theses

ER or LDPR gains most

Covers 2 related markets

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?$3,500 tracked1 signalWorld ElectionsElectionsGlobal ElectionsputinRussiaWorldPolitics
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Notable Trades

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

2026-06-19 05:22 UTC

$3,500 on No at 44¢

44¢→100¢↑56¢

Related Theses