MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $105,623.

Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

Repeat new wallet whale

A 4-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put $4.6k into No on this MegaETH market, suggesting fresh conviction even without a resolved track record yet.

A 4-day-old wallet has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts totaling $15.6k
This trader just bought $4.6k of No at 66-67¢, a clear concentrated view
The market is liquid enough that this looks like deliberate sizing, not a random thin-book punt

$4,622 on No

Profitable event-thesis bettor

A profitable wallet with an 81% win rate is expressing a broader event thesis across three related markets, and this trade translates to buying No at 61¢.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $34k overall
They have put $15.8k across 3 related MegaETH markets, showing a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade
This sale of Yes at 39¢ is equivalent to buying No at 61¢ in a liquid market

$5,482 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

81% win-rate crypto sharp

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate sold Yes at 39¢, which translates to buying No at 61¢ in a liquid crypto market with recent momentum.

This bettor wins 81% of 1,099 resolved trades and is up $2.54M lifetime
The trade was a fresh $3.2k bearish call on this market, equivalent to buying No at 61¢
This wallet has traded 134 markets across 128 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$3,182 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

A brand-new wallet dropped $92k into a quiet crypto launch market, taking a very large, high-conviction Yes position relative to recent volume and liquidity.

A wallet less than 3 hours old bought $92k of Yes in a single trade
That order was about 20x the market's recent 24h volume and far bigger than the available liquidity
Entry at 53¢ shows strong conviction on a $1B+ token launch valuation, even in a wide-spread market

$92,337 on Yes