Cross-Market Thesis
“US-Iran talks won’t happen by September”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $12,715 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Whale_0x9c98794% win rate 🔥
Total
$12,715
Markets
5
Positions
- 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$6,959 @ 90¢
- 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$1,949 @ 83¢
- 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1,045 @ 69¢
- 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$1,044 @ 87¢
- 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1,718 @ 58¢