Cross-Market Thesis

US-Iran talks won’t happen by August

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $5,756 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
    $1,718 @ 58¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
    $1,949 @ 83¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
    $1,045 @ 69¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
    $1,044 @ 87¢
US-Iran talks won’t happen by August — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter