Part of: MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
35 smart money signals detected, totaling $286,314.
Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
83% serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with an 83% resolved win rate is buying Yes at 90¢ amid an 11.8x volume spike and strong weekly momentum.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades across 372 markets and is up about $20K lifetime.
- They have traded 165 markets across 81 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Yes is up 14 points this week with an 11.8x volume spike, supporting the same direction as this buy.
$4,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
11-wallet sharp cluster buys Yes
An 87% winning wallet from an 11-wallet funded cluster is adding a $12k Yes bet at 90¢ on a liquid crypto launch market with strong recent momentum.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $20.7k lifetime.
- 11 wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the Yes side.
- They paid 90¢ on a liquid market that has moved up 12.5 points this week.
$12,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,016 | Wallet win rate: 64%
83% winner fading consensus
Sharp 83% win-rate wallet with $115k profit is taking a contrarian No-equivalent position while positioned across 4 related markets.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $115k lifetime.
- They have $79,560 positioned across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- Selling Yes at 89¢ is equivalent to buying No at 11¢, a contrarian bet against a market priced at 90% Yes.
$2,029 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% winner buying NO
Profitable 83% lifetime wallet is taking the contrarian NO side as part of an $85k cross-market MegaETH thesis.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $115k lifetime.
- They have put $85k across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader MegaETH valuation thesis.
- Selling Yes at 89¢ is equivalent to buying No at 11¢, a contrarian bet against the market’s 90% Yes odds.
$3,649 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% winner fading Yes
A profitable 83% winner is making a contrarian cross-market MegaETH bet by selling Yes at 89¢, equivalent to buying No at 11¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $115K lifetime.
- They have placed $81K across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader MegaETH thesis.
- Buying No at 11¢ is a contrarian bet against a market currently pricing Yes at 90%.
$7,120 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% winner fading Yes
Profitable 83% wallet with a $78.6k cross-market MegaETH thesis is fading the 88¢ Yes price, equivalent to buying No at 12¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $115k lifetime.
- They have placed $78.6k across 4 related MegaETH markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Selling Yes at 88¢ is equivalent to buying No at 12¢ after Yes rose 21 points this week.
$1,760 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% winner buys contrarian NO
Proven 83% winning cross-market trader is taking the contrarian No side against an 88% consensus Yes price.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $115k lifetime.
- They have $83k positioned across 4 related markets, part of a 26-event cross-market pattern.
- Selling Yes at 88¢ is equivalent to buying No at 12¢, a contrarian bet against the market consensus.
$2,640 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% winner buys NO
Profitable 83% winner is taking a contrarian NO position as part of a larger $82k cross-market MegaETH thesis.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $115k lifetime.
- They have $82k positioned across 4 related MegaETH markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Selling Yes at 88¢ is equivalent to buying No at 12¢ against a >$1B valuation.
$4,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% winner buying NO
Profitable 83% win-rate wallet is taking a cross-market thesis across four related markets and effectively buying No here against the 88% consensus.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $115K lifetime.
- They have a $76K cross-market position across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- Selling Yes at 88¢ is equivalent to buying No at 12¢, a contrarian bet against the current market consensus.
$1,760 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x6305...9d0b — Outcome 22157788, $145,942
- 0xb7b3...be6c — Outcome 22157788, $44,676
- 0x0108...0d26 — Outcome 65375575, $38,333
- 0xa772...b445 — Outcome 22157788, $34,787
- 0x1461...30a1 — Outcome 22157788, $30,152 (76% win rate)
- 0x5a1c...970a — Outcome 22157788, $30,009 (82% win rate)
- 0x3e27...c659 — Outcome 22157788, $18,309
- 0xde28...a563 — Outcome 22157788, $13,317
- 0x8092...2bdb — Outcome 22157788, $12,649
- 0xd90a...ad32 — Outcome 22157788, $10,403
