Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,885.
Notable Trades
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
A proven high-volume political trader with 264 resolved bets and $670k profit opened a fresh $5.9k Yes position at 47¢, making this worth surfacing despite only one moderate signal.
- This bettor has won 70% of 264 resolved trades and is up about $670k lifetime
- They trade across 41 events and 59 markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- They opened a fresh Yes position at 47¢, a level that leaves room if Paxton's chances keep rising
$5,885 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $381,659
- 0xbb04...648c — No, $128,176
- 0x9703...69c2 — Yes, $33,741
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Yes, $33,094 (68% win rate)
- 0x7744...999e — Yes, $30,449 (52% win rate)
- 0xd1ac...08d5 — Yes, $29,935
- 0xc0bf...2032 — Yes, $24,433
- 0x0490...c81f — Yes, $20,155 (50% win rate)
- 0x3c91...9af7 — Yes, $18,500
- 0x47ab...95df — Yes, $16,987