Part of: Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,004.

Categories: Politics, Elections, World, United Kingdom, Global Elections, Main Election, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial politics trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is taking meaningful size in a political market, with fresh Plaid Yes buying aligned with recent upward price momentum.

  • This bettor has a strong record: 68% wins across 809 resolved bets and about $791k in profit.
  • They bought Plaid Yes at 81¢ as the market moved up 5 points today and 6 points this week.
  • The wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $952k tracked across 77 events.

$7,561 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history is adding Yes exposure in a politically meaningful market with recent upward momentum.

  • This bettor is up about $791k across 809 resolved bets, with 68% wins.
  • They have traded across 77 events and are buying Yes at 79¢ here.
  • The market has moved up 4.5 points this week, matching the direction of their bet.

$1,443 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 10083593, $28,132
  2. 0xa8f1...d87b Outcome 10083593, $7,250
  3. 0xc01f...cd8e Outcome 38024321, $4,036 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x4c8c...e36f Outcome 10083593, $3,479
  5. 0xf769...0114 Outcome 10083593, $2,963 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x60cc...f23f Outcome 10083593, $2,500
  7. 0xb7e9...bdac Outcome 10083593, $1,197 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x20f7...5527 Outcome 10083593, $1,097
  9. 0x944e...8c94 Outcome 10083593, $500 (61% win rate)
  10. 0xa43d...00f4 Outcome 10083593, $500

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Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

ResolvedWales Parliamentary Election Winner$9,004 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsWorldUnited KingdomGlobal ElectionsMain ElectionRewards 200, 4.5, 50

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Wales on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Welsh Parliament (Senedd) in this election. If voting in the Welsh parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the Senedd Commission of Wales (https://senedd.wales/).

Notable Trades

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

8d ago

$7,561 on Yes at 81¢

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

8d ago

$1,443 on Yes at 79¢

Related Theses