Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,136.

Categories: Business, Finance, Economy, Big Tech, Tech, AI

Notable Trades

94% winner buys NVIDIA Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial cross-market history bought Yes at 89%, reinforced by a 19-wallet funding cluster.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades—223 of 238—with $158,354 in realized profit.
The wallet has traded across 48 events and 66 markets, indicating a sustained directional track record rather than a one-off bet.
Nineteen wallets share its funder, adding coordinated conviction to the $1,325 Yes position bought at 89%.

$1,325 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Three-wallet contrarian No flow

Three wallets jointly sold NVIDIA Yes near 81% after a 12.3x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated No signal despite weak wallet track records.

Three wallets sold $8,391 of Yes around 80–81%, equivalent to buying No near 19–20%.
The trades arrived during a 12.3x volume spike while Yes had surged 73.8% in one day.
The wallets lack a strong record—one is down $534,000—so this is a flow signal rather than a proven sharp-bettor call.

$8,391 on No

Sharp bettor scales into Yes

A profitable sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and meaningful historical edge is adding $3,500 to an existing Yes position despite the market already rising.

This bettor has won 82% of 51 resolved trades and is up $9,074 lifetime.
They added $3,500 to an existing Yes position at 77¢, signaling continued conviction.
Yes has risen to 81% from the 77¢ entry, though the market remains liquid and the edge is less attractive now.

$1,702 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor scales into Yes

A profitable sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and meaningful historical edge is adding $3,500 to an existing Yes position despite the market already rising.

This bettor has won 82% of 51 resolved trades and is up $9,074 lifetime.
They added $3,500 to an existing Yes position at 77¢, signaling continued conviction.
Yes has risen to 81% from the 77¢ entry, though the market remains liquid and the edge is less attractive now.

$3,501 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Three-wallet YES cluster after repricing

Three wallets added roughly $9.2K to Yes as the market repriced sharply upward, though existing positions and mixed track records temper the signal.

Three wallets committed $9,217 to Yes, including additional buying from traders already holding substantial positions.
The buying coincided with a 24.9-point price jump and a 12.9x volume spike, signaling concentrated conviction.
Track records are mixed: one bettor wins 85% of 240 trades, while another has only a 26% win rate despite strong lifetime profits.

$10,227 on Yes

Four-wallet No momentum

Four wallets pushed the market toward No during a sharp repricing, but the best entries were far below the current No price so this is only copyable on a pullback.

Four wallets all moved toward No, helping drive Yes down about 16 percentage points.
One wallet already has a large No position, with $357K invested at a 14¢ average entry.
The cluster’s average No-equivalent entry was about 33¢, well below the current 52¢ price.

$9,592 on No

94% winner buying dip

Sharp-wallet override: a 94% historical winner with positive P&L bought Yes at 84¢ after a recent pullback.

This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved bets and is up $518 lifetime.
They bought Yes at 84¢ after the market fell 10.5 points over the past week.
Entry at 84¢ implies they still see value despite already-high odds.

$1,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 75848210, $516,912
0x714a...ab2f — Outcome 75848210, $80,803 (25% win rate)
0x0feb...db5d — Outcome 75848210, $13,502 (86% win rate)
0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 75848210, $10,438 (73% win rate)
0xe32b...626e — Outcome 75848210, $8,150
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 75848210, $8,116
0xc15b...38af — Outcome 75848210, $7,358 (81% win rate)
0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 75848210, $6,000 (49% win rate)
0x45e1...5934 — Outcome 75848210, $4,238 (99% win rate)
0xd8c1...16c0 — Outcome 75848210, $4,219 (63% win rate)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

ResolvedLargest Company end of July?$36,136 tracked7 signalsBusinessFinanceEconomyBig TechTechAI

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

53¢

4¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction