Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month Crude Oil futures will reach or exceed $130 on any trading day before the end of June 2026. It resolves on June 30, 2026, based on CME CL settlement prices, with smart money activity currently tracked at $1,392 across 1 signal. Recent alerts point to sharp and high-win traders buying upside exposure in oil-related markets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,862.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

84% cross-market sharp

Proven profitable cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes on crude oil reaching $130 after repeatedly positioning across this event.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $418K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.5M across 101 markets and 41 events.
  • This is part of a broader 4-market thesis in the same event, totaling $18.3K.

$1,392 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable oil cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad crude-oil thesis across 8 related markets, though this individual trade is modest and the entry has moved slightly against them.

  • This wallet has put $108K across 8 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • The bettor is up $265K lifetime despite a modest 42% hit rate, implying past wins have been well-sized.
  • They are buying No at 78¢, betting crude does not settle at or above $130 by end of June 2026.

$1,802 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable macro cross-market bettor

A profitable 76% wallet is building a $10.7k cross-market thesis against crude oil reaching high strike levels, with this No entry already moving in its favor.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $16.2k lifetime.
  • They have placed $10.7k across 4 related crude oil markets, all pointing to a broader oil-price thesis.
  • Bought No at 71¢ and the market is already up to 74¢, matching recent momentum against the $130 target.

$1,588 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad crude-oil thesis across 8 related markets, including a fresh BUY No on $130 by June at 66¢.

  • This wallet is up $268K lifetime and has traded $7.4M across resolved markets.
  • They have placed $99K across 8 related crude-oil markets, signaling a broad view rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 66¢ means they are betting crude stays below $130 through June 2026.

$1,329 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

94% winner buying upside

Strong cross-market positioning from a 94% win-rate wallet, with bullish exposure across 3 related markets and supportive price momentum.

  • This bettor has won 33 of 35 resolved bets and is positioning across 3 related markets.
  • They have $28.6K in related-event exposure, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
  • This trade effectively buys Yes around 47¢ while the market is up 18.5% today.

$1,673 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

High-win oil cross-market bettor

Worth surfacing as a high-win wallet building a broader bullish crude-oil thesis across three related markets, though the individual trade is modest and lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

  • This wallet has won 33 of 35 resolved trades and is now positioned across 3 related oil markets.
  • They have put $24.4k into the same event, suggesting a broader bullish crude-oil thesis.
  • This trade effectively buys Yes at 39¢ after the market moved up 13 points today.

$1,162 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

9-market oil thesis bettor

A high-volume event specialist is expressing the same thesis across 9 related crude oil strike markets, and this trade converts to buying Yes at 34¢ in a market that has already bounced 4.5 points today.

  • This wallet has put $101k across 9 related oil markets, showing a broad event-driven view rather than a one-off bet
  • The trade effectively buys Yes at 34¢ after selling No at 66¢, close to the current 34-35¢ market
  • The bettor is active and profitable over 1,033 resolved bets, though the edge looks moderate rather than elite

$6,917 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%

Top Holders

  1. 0xafc0...5087 Yes, $22,002 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Yes, $20,723 (78% win rate)
  3. 0x1664...a0ce Yes, $16,497
  4. 0x72a0...c059 No, $14,640 (47% win rate)
  5. 0x06ac...79ec No, $13,000
  6. 0x436f...2c7f Yes, $12,658 (70% win rate)
  7. 0xc6c5...6f9c No, $8,607 (33% win rate)
  8. 0xfc2f...10c7 No, $8,353 (84% win rate)
  9. 0x74b4...6bea No, $7,405 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x64d9...46e6 No, $6,942 (62% win rate)

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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

47dWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$15,862 tracked7 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
33¢
No
68¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “No
81¢
71¢
61¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

2d ago

$1,392 on Yes at 30¢

30¢33¢3¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

7d ago

$1,802 on No at 78¢

78¢68¢10¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

7d ago

$1,588 on No at 71¢

71¢68¢3¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

11d ago

$1,329 on No at 66¢

66¢68¢2¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

13d ago

$1,673 on Yes at 47¢

47¢33¢14¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

13d ago

$1,162 on Yes at 39¢

39¢33¢6¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

31d ago

$6,917 on Yes at 34¢

34¢33¢1¢

Related Theses