Part of: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $9,671.

Categories: Claude, Big Tech, anthropic, Claude Mythos, AI, Tech, Trump

Notable Trades

Repeat bettor scaling into Yes

A repeat flagged wallet built a $9.7k Yes position on a thin market near deadline, with coordinated positioning across four related markets despite only modest verified track record.

  • This repeat bettor put $9.7k on Yes, nearly matching the market’s $10.5k total volume.
  • The market is thin, with $4.8k liquidity and an 8-point spread, so the position shows real conviction.
  • They are also betting across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.

$9,671 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2e7a...29f6 Outcome 53107767, $8,148 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x43ca...d04c Outcome 53107767, $4,000
  3. 0xabdd...970e Outcome 53107767, $2,516
  4. 0x25c2...7458 Outcome 53107767, $2,441
  5. 0x375e...2ece Outcome 53107767, $2,330
  6. 0xc91b...93bd Outcome 53107767, $1,712
  7. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 53107767, $1,631 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x0bd8...a74a Outcome 53107767, $1,000
  9. 0xb0f7...5d56 Outcome 53107767, $857
  10. 0xc15f...650a Outcome 53107767, $847

Related Theses

Iran deal before June

Covers 5 related markets

US-Iran meeting by July

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran talks after June 19

Covers 3 related markets

US-Iran talks won't extend

Covers 1 related market

Fable 5 returns by July 2

Covers 5 related markets

US-Iran deal coming soon

Covers 2 related markets

Israel extends ceasefire soon

Covers 3 related markets

Iran stays in negotiations

Covers 2 related markets

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

ResolvedClaude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?$9,671 tracked1 signalClaudeBig TechanthropicClaude MythosAITechTrump

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

18d ago

$9,671 on Yes at 78¢

Related Theses