Part of: Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,675.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Senate Primary, Democratic Primary, Minnesota Primary, August 11 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Serial trader scales into No

An experienced serial cross-market trader is adding $2,600 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite no exceptional win-rate edge.

  • This wallet has made 465 resolved trades and is up $87,909 lifetime.
  • The trader added $2,600 to an existing No position, bringing total investment above $5,700.
  • The bet was large relative to the market’s thin recent trading activity, while No has since risen from 83¢ to 88¢.

$1,074 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Serial trader scales into No

An experienced serial cross-market trader is adding $2,600 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite no exceptional win-rate edge.

  • This wallet has made 465 resolved trades and is up $87,909 lifetime.
  • The trader added $2,600 to an existing No position, bringing total investment above $5,700.
  • The bet was large relative to the market’s thin recent trading activity, while No has since risen from 83¢ to 88¢.

$2,601 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 37176995, $34,954
  2. 0x9648...6825 Outcome 77035596, $32,995 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xecaa...77a9 Outcome 77035596, $12,365 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x7bc1...8db4 Outcome 77035596, $8,650 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xd24b...ef76 Outcome 77035596, $7,000 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 77035596, $3,285 (82% win rate)
  7. 0xdd5d...1614 Outcome 77035596, $1,000 (80% win rate)
  8. 0x7cbd...1288 Outcome 77035596, $935
  9. 0xe8a2...54c2 Outcome 77035596, $842 (40% win rate)
  10. 0x4ae7...561f Outcome 77035596, $666

Related Theses

Peru elects right-wing president

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

BN will win Negeri Sembilan elections

Covers 1 related market

Starmer out by June

Covers 3 related markets

AfD will win most seats

Covers 2 related markets

Graham Nordone wins GOP Senate nomination

Covers 1 related market

AfD will fall short of majority

Covers 1 related market

Angie Craig wins Democratic nomination

Covers 1 related market

Iran leadership will change soon

Covers 2 related markets

Darline Graham Nordone won't win

Covers 1 related market

Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

ResolvedMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner$3,675 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsSenate PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryMinnesota PrimaryAugust 11 PrimariesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Price History — “No
92¢
79¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

37d ago

$1,074 on No at 83¢

Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

38d ago

$2,601 on No at 83¢

Related Theses