Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,154.

Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit

Notable Trades

90% winner buying YES

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 90% record over 501 resolved trades bought Yes despite only a moderate cross-market signal.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 501 bets and is up $5.1K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 87¢ while also trading another related Xi-event market, suggesting a focused thesis.
  • The market has moved up 10.5 points in the past day, and this trade follows that momentum.

$1,154 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xecaa...77a9 No, $8,129 (68% win rate)
  2. 0xb2c6...3654 Yes, $8,000
  3. 0x0562...9d66 No, $3,500 (41% win rate)
  4. 0xee21...e2fe No, $3,160
  5. 0x002d...2561 No, $3,000 (59% win rate)
  6. 0xbd04...fbb0 No, $2,500
  7. 0xf797...0bf2 No, $2,000
  8. 0xe617...f251 Yes, $1,865 (95% win rate)
  9. 0x165e...f5aa No, $1,554 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x7e31...454d Yes, $1,379 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

Trump mentions Iran and AI

Covers 2 related markets

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

1dWhat will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? $1,154 tracked1 signalTrumpPoliticsChinaMentionsTrump-Xi Summit
Yes
85¢
No
15¢

Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Price History — “Yes
89¢
78¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

2h ago

$1,154 on Yes at 87¢

87¢85¢2¢

Related Theses