Part of: Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,052.

Categories: Makerfield, UK, by election, Global Elections, Elections, United Kingdom, Politics

Notable Trades

New wallet backs momentum

A 2-day-old wallet with early positive results is making a fresh $1.9k No bet that aligns with a sharp move against Yes in this by-election market.

A 2-day-old wallet with $24k already invested is adding a $1.9k No bet.
The trade follows strong momentum: Yes odds are down 28 points in the past day.
The wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets so far, though the sample is still small.

$1,943 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

94% winner buying Yes

Sharp political bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes on a plausible information-sensitive by-election market.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $10.8k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 50¢ on a UK by-election market where local polling or campaign knowledge can matter.
The market has moved up 11 points in the last day, showing momentum behind the Yes side.

$1,150 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% winner buying Yes

Sharp political bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes on a plausible information-sensitive by-election market.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $10.8k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 50¢ on a UK by-election market where local polling or campaign knowledge can matter.
The market has moved up 11 points in the last day, showing momentum behind the Yes side.

$1,959 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%