Part of: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,170.
Categories: Claude, Big Tech, anthropic, Claude Mythos, AI, Tech, Trump
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market bettor
Moderately compelling event-driven bet from a repeat flagged, profitable wallet building a cross-market thesis in a thin AI/news market.
- This wallet is up about $50.9k lifetime and has been flagged 54 times before.
- It has put $11.4k across 5 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- The market is thin, and this $1.7k buy at 80¢ was meaningful versus available liquidity.
$1,744 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Repeat whale across five markets
A repeat large bettor with positive lifetime P&L is building a Yes position across several related markets in a relatively thin AI-policy market.
- This repeat bettor is up about $50.9k lifetime and is adding to a broader AI-policy thesis.
- They bought $3.4k of Yes in a market with only $8.3k of liquidity, making this a meaningful conviction bet.
- The same wallet has $11.4k spread across 5 related markets, suggesting coordinated positioning rather than a one-off trade.
$3,427 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x12df...6a3d — Outcome 71368547, $6,902 (63% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 71368547, $4,710 (67% win rate)
- 0x43ca...d04c — Outcome 71368547, $3,333
- 0x24fb...973e — Outcome 71368547, $2,848 (69% win rate)
- 0x2c55...dbb9 — Outcome 71368547, $2,500 (57% win rate)
- 0xabdd...970e — Outcome 71368547, $2,007
- 0x1dd1...a156 — Outcome 71368547, $1,137 (53% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 71368547, $597 (58% win rate)
- 0x0c18...a04c — Outcome 71368547, $419 (29% win rate)
- 0x419f...e853 — Outcome 71368547, $400
Related Theses
Iran deal before June
Covers 5 related markets
US-Iran meeting by July
Covers 3 related markets
US-Iran talks after June 19
Covers 3 related markets
US-Iran talks won't extend
Covers 1 related market
Fable 5 returns by July 2
Covers 5 related markets
US-Iran deal coming soon
Covers 2 related markets
Israel extends ceasefire soon
Covers 3 related markets
Iran stays in negotiations
Covers 2 related markets
