Part of: Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,961.

Categories: World, Israel, Politics, Elections, Geopolitics, Middle East, Main Election, Israel Election, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market trader on Yes

A serial cross-market trader sold No as Yes odds rose sharply, and the reported price move is corroborated by strong recent market momentum, though the wallet's record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • Selling No at 28¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 72¢, alongside a 12.5% rise in Yes odds over the past day.
  • This trader has placed bets across 123 events and has a long history, though their 64% win rate does not clearly beat their average winning prices.

$1,191 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial trader adding to Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader added to an existing Yes position at 58¢, and the market has since risen to 71¢.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 122 resolved trades and is up $67,582 overall.
  • They added $3,770 to an existing Yes position at 58¢; the market has since climbed to 71¢.

$3,770 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $54,482
  2. 0xd218...b5c9 — Yes, $16,754 (49% win rate)
  3. 0x7f9e...3a0e — Yes, $9,220 (90% win rate)
  4. 0xc301...66aa — Yes, $8,953 (72% win rate)
  5. 0x85a8...9281 — Yes, $6,549 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x6114...cff0 — No, $6,000 (74% win rate)
  7. 0xb4f2...e5fa — Yes, $4,743 (77% win rate)
  8. 0x4f90...517d — Yes, $4,588 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x9648...6825 — No, $4,072 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x9d73...216b — No, $3,293 (73% win rate)

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Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?$4,961 tracked2 signalsWorldIsraelPoliticsElectionsGeopoliticsMiddle EastMain ElectionIsrael ElectionGlobal Elections
Yes
94¢
No
7¢

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
95¢
58¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

2026-10-30 17:55 UTC

$1,191 on Yes at 72¢

72¢→94¢↑22¢

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

2026-10-30 04:14 UTC

$3,770 on Yes at 58¢

58¢→94¢↑36¢

Related Theses