Part of: Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,804.
Categories: Hungary Election, Global Elections, Orban, Magyar, Politics, Elections, Hungary
Notable Trades
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet is making repeated large bets into a very thin Hungary election market, suggesting fresh conviction on Fidesz reaching 90+ seats.
- A 23-hour-old wallet has already made repeated large bets, with $7.5k flagged across 2 trades
- This $3.7k buy was nearly 5x the market's entire 24-hour volume and hit a market with an 8¢ spread
- They bought Yes at 57¢, implying they think the market was underpricing Fidesz winning 90+ seats
$3,729 on Yes
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet is making repeated multi-thousand-dollar bets into a very quiet Hungarian election market, suggesting fresh conviction in the No side despite thin liquidity.
- This wallet is less than a day old and has already made repeated large bets totaling $6.3k
- This $3.1k trade was over 4x the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction
- They sold Yes at 48¢ in a market with a wide spread, which points to a bearish view on Fidesz reaching 90 seats
$3,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet made a $3.2k buy in a very quiet Hungary election market, suggesting fresh conviction in a thin book despite no track record yet.
- A wallet just 23 hours old dropped $3.2k on one side of this market in a single trade
- That buy was 417% of the market's full 24-hour volume, in a market with only $769 traded today
- They paid 49¢ in a wide 42¢/50¢ book, showing willingness to size up in a thin political market
$3,206 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet made a $3.7k bet against a thin Hungary election market, accounting for nearly 5x the last 24h volume and signaling fresh conviction worth watching.
- A wallet less than a day old opened a $3.7k new position in this market
- That single trade was 485% of the market’s 24-hour volume in a market with only $12k liquidity
- They bought No at 57¢, implying they see the current 54¢ price as still too high for Yes
$3,729 on No