Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,804.
Categories: Hungary Election, Global Elections, Orban, Magyar, Politics, Elections, Hungary
Notable Trades
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet is making repeated large bets into a very thin Hungary election market, suggesting fresh conviction on Fidesz reaching 90+ seats.
- A 23-hour-old wallet has already made repeated large bets, with $7.5k flagged across 2 trades
- This $3.7k buy was nearly 5x the market's entire 24-hour volume and hit a market with an 8¢ spread
- They bought Yes at 57¢, implying they think the market was underpricing Fidesz winning 90+ seats
$3,729 on Yes
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet is making repeated multi-thousand-dollar bets into a very quiet Hungarian election market, suggesting fresh conviction in the No side despite thin liquidity.
- This wallet is less than a day old and has already made repeated large bets totaling $6.3k
- This $3.1k trade was over 4x the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction
- They sold Yes at 48¢ in a market with a wide spread, which points to a bearish view on Fidesz reaching 90 seats
$3,140 on Yes
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet made a $3.2k buy in a very quiet Hungary election market, suggesting fresh conviction in a thin book despite no track record yet.
- A wallet just 23 hours old dropped $3.2k on one side of this market in a single trade
- That buy was 417% of the market's full 24-hour volume, in a market with only $769 traded today
- They paid 49¢ in a wide 42¢/50¢ book, showing willingness to size up in a thin political market
$3,206 on Yes
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet made a $3.7k bet against a thin Hungary election market, accounting for nearly 5x the last 24h volume and signaling fresh conviction worth watching.
- A wallet less than a day old opened a $3.7k new position in this market
- That single trade was 485% of the market’s 24-hour volume in a market with only $12k liquidity
- They bought No at 57¢, implying they see the current 54¢ price as still too high for Yes
$3,729 on No
Top Holders
- 0xe50a...6717 — Outcome 20074741, $3,082
- 0xea65...69f3 — Outcome 20074741, $2,317
- 0x7b99...9127 — Outcome 20074741, $2,284
- 0x5b46...1263 — Outcome 20074741, $2,136 (71% win rate)
- 0x1d3e...5c4e — Outcome 20074741, $2,000 (0% win rate)
- 0xd81b...5e32 — Outcome 20074741, $1,487 (67% win rate)
- 0x8920...af7a — Outcome 20074741, $984
- 0xeb1d...6c0b — Outcome 20074741, $500
- 0x1b82...034d — Outcome 20074741, $467
- 0x15a4...8d7b — Outcome 20074741, $400