Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
8 signals across 4 markets · $22,526 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks Hungary’s 2026 parliamentary election through Fidesz-KDNP seat thresholds, from at least 60 seats up to at least 90 seats in the National Assembly. PolySpotter is tracking $22,526 in smart-money activity across the event, including signals from an 84% win-rate political bettor and a profitable election trader moving early.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
A 14-wallet funded cluster is repeatedly active and one of its wallets just bought Yes at 56¢ in a mid-liquidity Hungary election market, signaling coordinated conviction worth tracking.
$3,550Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 8.0 - Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet is making repeated large bets into a very thin Hungary election market, suggesting fresh conviction on Fidesz reaching 90+ seats.
$3,729Score: 7.4 - Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet is making repeated multi-thousand-dollar bets into a very quiet Hungarian election market, suggesting fresh conviction in the No side despite thin liquidity.
$3,140Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 7.0 - Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet made a $3.7k bet against a thin Hungary election market, accounting for nearly 5x the last 24h volume and signaling fresh conviction worth watching.
$3,729Score: 6.4 - Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet made a $3.2k buy in a very quiet Hungary election market, suggesting fresh conviction in a thin book despite no track record yet.
$3,206Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 6.1 - 84% win-rate political bettor
A proven high-win-rate political trader with broad cross-market activity bought into a meaningful recent dip in this Hungary seats market, making it a credible copy-trade signal despite only modest size.
$2,521Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - Profitable election trader early
Profitable high-volume political trader bought No before a sharp repricing, taking 85¢ entry in a market that has since moved to 96¢.
$1,613Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 5.9 - 84% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp bettor with an 84% win rate and strong historical edge is buying No at 90¢ after a huge market collapse, signaling confidence in the current favorite.
$1,038Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x27863d…5db1$7,458 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xa7197d…546a$6,346 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 0% wins
- 0x489cdf…e92c$3,550 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins
- 0xdc03d6…804c$2,521 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x629bc4…995a$1,613 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
- 0xd13440…719b$1,038 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
FAQs
What are the Hungary election Fidesz-KDNP seat odds on Polymarket?
The event covers multiple Polymarket odds for whether Fidesz-KDNP wins at least 60, 70, 80, or 90 seats in Hungary’s 2026 parliamentary election. Each threshold trades separately, so the market gives a probability curve for how strong Fidesz-KDNP’s seat result may be.
What is smart money doing in this Hungary election market?
PolySpotter has tracked $22,526 in smart-money activity across this event, with 8 smart-money signals so far. Recent alerts include an 84% win-rate political bettor, an 84% win-rate sharp, and a profitable election trader entering early.
Which Fidesz-KDNP seat outcomes are being traded?
Traders are pricing whether Fidesz-KDNP will win at least 60 seats, at least 70 seats, at least 80 seats, and at least 90 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly.
When does the Hungary Fidesz-KDNP seats market resolve?
The market is tied to Hungary’s parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, 2026. It resolves based on the definitive number of seats Fidesz-KDNP wins, with a fallback rule that unresolved results by October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET resolve to “No.”},{