Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
8 signals across 4 markets · $22,526 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
A 14-wallet funded cluster is repeatedly active and one of its wallets just bought Yes at 56¢ in a mid-liquidity Hungary election market, signaling coordinated conviction worth tracking.
$3,550Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 8.0 - Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet is making repeated large bets into a very thin Hungary election market, suggesting fresh conviction on Fidesz reaching 90+ seats.
$3,729Score: 7.4 - Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet is making repeated multi-thousand-dollar bets into a very quiet Hungarian election market, suggesting fresh conviction in the No side despite thin liquidity.
$3,140Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 7.0 - Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet made a $3.7k bet against a thin Hungary election market, accounting for nearly 5x the last 24h volume and signaling fresh conviction worth watching.
$3,729Score: 6.4 - Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
A brand-new wallet made a $3.2k buy in a very quiet Hungary election market, suggesting fresh conviction in a thin book despite no track record yet.
$3,206Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 6.1 - 84% win-rate political bettor
A proven high-win-rate political trader with broad cross-market activity bought into a meaningful recent dip in this Hungary seats market, making it a credible copy-trade signal despite only modest size.
$2,521Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.0 - Profitable election trader early
Profitable high-volume political trader bought No before a sharp repricing, taking 85¢ entry in a market that has since moved to 96¢.
$1,613Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 5.9 - 84% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp bettor with an 84% win rate and strong historical edge is buying No at 90¢ after a huge market collapse, signaling confidence in the current favorite.
$1,038Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x27863d…5db1$7,458 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xa7197d…546a$6,346 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 0% wins
- 0x489cdf…e92c$3,550 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins
- 0xdc03d6…804c$2,521 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x629bc4…995a$1,613 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0xd13440…719b$1,038 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins