Part of: Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,311.
Categories: Oil, Iran, Hormuz, Geopolitics, Strait of Hormuz, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
93% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No near 90¢ on a Strait of Hormuz transit bracket market.
- This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved bets and is up about $6.3K lifetime.
- They bought No at 90¢, aligning with the market’s current 92% No pricing.
- Their past wins came at much tougher average odds of 57%, suggesting a real track record rather than just favorite-betting.
$1,914 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large sample is buying Yes after major upward momentum in a specialized shipping-data market.
- This bettor wins 64% of resolved trades and is up $231,798 lifetime.
- They have traded 409 related markets across 181 events, showing a repeat pattern in these bracket-style markets.
- Yes is up 22 points today, and the 50¢ entry suggests they see room beyond the current coin-flip price.
$1,396 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10150773, $31,007
- 0xc851...cd2a — Outcome 79272559, $23,216 (52% win rate)
- 0x8c66...44f3 — Outcome 79272559, $2,735 (84% win rate)
- 0x828e...c21b — Outcome 79272559, $1,670
- 0x0845...6b6f — Outcome 79272559, $1,151 (70% win rate)
- 0xdde1...f1d7 — Outcome 79272559, $1,002
- 0xdad7...005a — Outcome 79272559, $665
- 0xc040...beac — Outcome 79272559, $618 (50% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 79272559, $540 (61% win rate)
- 0xed16...51e3 — Outcome 79272559, $479
Related Theses
Iran keeps airspace open
Covers 5 related markets