Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for active-month Crude Oil (CL) futures will be at or below $80 on any trading day before the end of June 2026. It resolves on June 30, 2026, based on CME settlement data, and PolySpotter is tracking $3,081 in smart money activity across 2 signals. Recent alerts include high win-rate oil and cross-market bettors, suggesting notable sharp interest in this crude oil price threshold.
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,697.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
81% win-rate oil sharp
A highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet is taking the No side as part of a large cross-market crude oil thesis across 9 related markets.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $589K lifetime.
- They have traded 9 related oil markets with $111K total exposure, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Selling Yes at 61¢ is equivalent to buying No at 39¢, implying they see upside if oil stays above $80.
$1,831 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp crude cross-market bettor
A highly profitable 81% lifetime winner is adding a Yes bet as part of a broad 9-market crude oil thesis with recent price momentum supporting the move.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $586K lifetime.
- They have positioned across 9 related crude oil markets with about $107K total exposure.
- Yes has moved sharply recently, up 24 points in the last day, and this entry was near the best bid at 47¢.
$1,249 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable cross-market whale
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad bearish-oil-price thesis across 13 related crude-oil ladder markets, though this specific trade is modest and not backed by a high win rate.
- This wallet is up $214K lifetime and has traded $13M across resolved markets.
- They have positioned across 13 related crude-oil markets with $272K total exposure.
- Selling Yes here is equivalent to buying No at 65¢, betting crude stays above $80 through June.
$1,574 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad cross-market crude-oil thesis, with $295k across 13 related markets despite this individual trade being modest.
- This experienced bettor is up $214k lifetime and has traded over $13M on Polymarket.
- They have put $295k across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- They previously closed a No position here and are now buying Yes at 38¢, signaling a possible view change.
$3,941 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable oil thesis trader
A highly active, profitable oil-market trader is expressing a broad cross-market thesis across 13 related crude oil markets, though this specific trade is modest in size.
- This wallet is up about $214K lifetime and has positioned across 13 related oil markets.
- The broader cross-market position totals $284K, suggesting a developed view rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Yes at 41¢ is equivalent to buying No at 59¢, fading the recent move toward Yes.
$2,105 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Experienced profitable wallet is expressing a broad crude-oil thesis across 13 related markets, adding a small No-side bet against CL hitting $80 by June.
- This wallet is up $257k lifetime and has traded over $12.5M on Polymarket.
- They have a broad oil thesis across 13 related markets totaling $282k in exposure.
- Selling Yes at 30¢ is equivalent to buying No at 70¢, betting crude stays above $80 through June.
$1,995 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
Cross-market oil thesis
Profitable high-volume wallet is extending a broad cross-market crude oil thesis, selling Yes here as part of $221k positioned across 13 related markets.
- This bettor is up $246k lifetime and has traded over $12.5M on Polymarket.
- They have put $221k across 13 related crude oil markets, showing a broad macro view rather than a one-off bet.
- This trade effectively buys No at 69¢, aligned with the market’s 12-point move toward No over the past week.
$1,418 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
Veteran cross-market oil bettor
Experienced cross-market trader with a large positive track record is betting against Yes by selling at 32¢, effectively buying No at 68¢.
- This trader has a long track record: 1,074 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $157K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market bettor, active across 205 events with $647K in flagged cross-market volume.
- Selling Yes at 32¢ is equivalent to buying No at 68¢, backing the market not to resolve Yes.
$1,059 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
$197K oil thesis wallet
A profitable high-volume macro wallet is building a broad cross-market crude oil thesis, adding Yes at 32¢ across a related 13-market position set.
- This is part of a $197K position across 13 related crude oil markets.
- The bettor is up $245K lifetime despite only winning 44% of resolved bets, suggesting selective high-payout positioning.
- Buying Yes at 32¢ means they are backing crude oil to settle at or below $80 before the end of June.
$2,386 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
82% winner cross-market bet
Sharp 82% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profits is buying No after extensive cross-market positioning in the same event.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $562,858 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.47M deployed across 53 events.
- This is part of a larger 9-market thesis in the same event totaling $72,004.
$2,797 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x8b5b...576f — Outcome 81336421, $100,000
- 0xe2b1...7d2a — Outcome 81336421, $45,965 (46% win rate)
- 0x35d4...afab — Outcome 81336421, $42,280
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Outcome 81336421, $18,953 (78% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 81336421, $11,197 (82% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 81336421, $11,000
- 0x49e9...8f85 — Outcome 81336421, $9,276 (98% win rate)
- 0x4d77...af31 — Outcome 81336421, $7,076
- 0x740c...d013 — Outcome 81336421, $6,293 (68% win rate)
- 0xc360...dbb2 — Outcome 81336421, $5,245 (71% win rate)
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