Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,697.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

81% win-rate oil sharp

A highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet is taking the No side as part of a large cross-market crude oil thesis across 9 related markets.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $589K lifetime.
They have traded 9 related oil markets with $111K total exposure, suggesting a broader thesis.
Selling Yes at 61¢ is equivalent to buying No at 39¢, implying they see upside if oil stays above $80.

$1,831 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp crude cross-market bettor

A highly profitable 81% lifetime winner is adding a Yes bet as part of a broad 9-market crude oil thesis with recent price momentum supporting the move.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $586K lifetime.
They have positioned across 9 related crude oil markets with about $107K total exposure.
Yes has moved sharply recently, up 24 points in the last day, and this entry was near the best bid at 47¢.

$1,249 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable cross-market whale

A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad bearish-oil-price thesis across 13 related crude-oil ladder markets, though this specific trade is modest and not backed by a high win rate.

This wallet is up $214K lifetime and has traded $13M across resolved markets.
They have positioned across 13 related crude-oil markets with $272K total exposure.
Selling Yes here is equivalent to buying No at 65¢, betting crude stays above $80 through June.

$1,574 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable cross-market whale

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad cross-market crude-oil thesis, with $295k across 13 related markets despite this individual trade being modest.

This experienced bettor is up $214k lifetime and has traded over $13M on Polymarket.
They have put $295k across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
They previously closed a No position here and are now buying Yes at 38¢, signaling a possible view change.

$3,941 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable oil thesis trader

A highly active, profitable oil-market trader is expressing a broad cross-market thesis across 13 related crude oil markets, though this specific trade is modest in size.

This wallet is up about $214K lifetime and has positioned across 13 related oil markets.
The broader cross-market position totals $284K, suggesting a developed view rather than a one-off bet.
Selling Yes at 41¢ is equivalent to buying No at 59¢, fading the recent move toward Yes.

$2,105 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

Experienced profitable wallet is expressing a broad crude-oil thesis across 13 related markets, adding a small No-side bet against CL hitting $80 by June.

This wallet is up $257k lifetime and has traded over $12.5M on Polymarket.
They have a broad oil thesis across 13 related markets totaling $282k in exposure.
Selling Yes at 30¢ is equivalent to buying No at 70¢, betting crude stays above $80 through June.

$1,995 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

Cross-market oil thesis

Profitable high-volume wallet is extending a broad cross-market crude oil thesis, selling Yes here as part of $221k positioned across 13 related markets.

This bettor is up $246k lifetime and has traded over $12.5M on Polymarket.
They have put $221k across 13 related crude oil markets, showing a broad macro view rather than a one-off bet.
This trade effectively buys No at 69¢, aligned with the market’s 12-point move toward No over the past week.

$1,418 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

Veteran cross-market oil bettor

Experienced cross-market trader with a large positive track record is betting against Yes by selling at 32¢, effectively buying No at 68¢.

This trader has a long track record: 1,074 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $157K lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market bettor, active across 205 events with $647K in flagged cross-market volume.
Selling Yes at 32¢ is equivalent to buying No at 68¢, backing the market not to resolve Yes.

$1,059 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

$197K oil thesis wallet

A profitable high-volume macro wallet is building a broad cross-market crude oil thesis, adding Yes at 32¢ across a related 13-market position set.

This is part of a $197K position across 13 related crude oil markets.
The bettor is up $245K lifetime despite only winning 44% of resolved bets, suggesting selective high-payout positioning.
Buying Yes at 32¢ means they are backing crude oil to settle at or below $80 before the end of June.

$2,386 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

82% winner cross-market bet

Sharp 82% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profits is buying No after extensive cross-market positioning in the same event.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $562,858 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.47M deployed across 53 events.
This is part of a larger 9-market thesis in the same event totaling $72,004.

$2,797 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0x8b5b...576f — Outcome 81336421, $100,000
0xe2b1...7d2a — Outcome 81336421, $45,965 (46% win rate)
0x35d4...afab — Outcome 81336421, $42,280
0x4bbe...2cf3 — Outcome 81336421, $18,953 (78% win rate)
0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 81336421, $11,197 (81% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 81336421, $11,000
0x49e9...8f85 — Outcome 81336421, $9,276 (98% win rate)
0x4d77...af31 — Outcome 81336421, $7,076
0x740c...d013 — Outcome 81336421, $6,293 (68% win rate)
0xc360...dbb2 — Outcome 81336421, $5,245 (71% win rate)

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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

ResolvedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$38,697 tracked19 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.