Part of: Starmer out by...?
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $207,715.
Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World
Notable Trades
14-wallet funded cluster
A 14-wallet funded cluster with a highly profitable lead wallet is buying Yes after a major price breakout in a politically meaningful market.
- 14 linked wallets share the same funder and are positioning around this event, totaling about $10.9K on this market.
- This wallet is up about $889K lifetime despite nearly 1,000 resolved bets.
- Yes has surged 70 points this week, and this trade adds at 88¢ into strong momentum.
$8,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Perfect-record bettor buying Yes
Sharp wallet with a perfect 15-0 resolved record and positive P&L is buying Yes despite already-high odds and strong recent momentum.
- This bettor has won 15 of 15 resolved bets and is up $2,155 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 88¢ after a major move, with the market up 14 points today and 68.5 points this week.
- The trade is part of a cross-market political thesis totaling about $4,446.
$3,097 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven bettor fading 90¢ Yes
Surfaced because a high-volume bettor with an 82% win record and positive lifetime P&L is taking a contrarian No position after a sharp Yes rally.
- This bettor has 839 resolved trades, wins 82% of them, and is up $4.1k lifetime.
- They are fading a major move: Yes is up 38 points today and they sold it at 90¢.
- The copy is Buy No at 10¢, a contrarian bet against a market pricing Yes at 90%.
$1,234 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor fading surge
A proven profitable wallet is fading the crowded 90¢ Yes move by effectively buying No at 10¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $6.3K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying No at 10¢ after Yes jumped 34 points in a day.
- The market is highly liquid, so this looks like a track-record signal rather than a random thin-market move.
$1,524 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Elite political sharp buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 81% win rate across 1,283 resolved positions and $722k lifetime profit is buying Yes on a plausible UK politics market.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $722k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 21¢, suggesting they see Starmer leaving by June 2026 as underpriced.
- The market has already moved toward Yes this week, up about 8 percentage points.
$3,629 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable cross-market political bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is adding a cross-market Starmer-out position into strong recent momentum.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $17.9K lifetime.
- They have put $9.8K across 3 related Starmer markets, suggesting a broader political thesis.
- Yes is up 16 points today and 30 points this week, and this buy came at 48¢.
$3,540 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Linked sharp buying YES
Linked-wallet activity plus a profitable 7-0 bettor buying into a fast-moving UK politics market makes this worth surfacing despite the modest single-trade size.
- This bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved bets and is up $146K lifetime.
- Three wallets tied to the same funder are backing this side, with this trade adding $3.3K at 45¢.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 22 points in the last day.
$5,860 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
New profitable wallet buying Yes
A 3-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets and adding $6k to Yes after early profits, amid strong recent momentum in this political market.
- A 3-day-old wallet is already placing repeat large bets, with $8k flagged across two alerts.
- The wallet is up $462 so far and has 4 existing positions, suggesting early conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- Yes has surged 41 points this week, and this buyer entered at 60¢ into strong momentum.
$6,013 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable cross-market political bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is adding a cross-market Starmer-out position into strong recent momentum.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $17.9K lifetime.
- They have put $9.8K across 3 related Starmer markets, suggesting a broader political thesis.
- Yes is up 16 points today and 30 points this week, and this buy came at 48¢.
$2,549 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
3-wallet funded cluster
A recurring 3-wallet funded cluster is buying Yes on a politically meaningful market with strong recent momentum, though the visible wallet’s standalone track record is modest.
- Three wallets funded by the same source are positioning the same way here.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 13.5 points today and 26 points this week.
- This is a fresh re-entry at 43¢ after the wallet previously closed a Yes position around 41¢.
$1,720 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
Top Holders
- 0xb8a7...7674 — No, $101,598 (70% win rate)
- 0xd21f...e03f — No, $73,385 (100% win rate)
- 0x5f17...519e — No, $52,647 (91% win rate)
- 0x9648...6825 — No, $45,228 (72% win rate)
- 0x63d4...a2f1 — No, $27,627 (92% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — No, $24,381 (73% win rate)
- 0x1057...9ea5 — No, $23,712
- 0xf1fc...0ec1 — No, $23,129 (73% win rate)
- 0x3bef...d6e2 — No, $21,182 (100% win rate)
- 0x0c48...3299 — No, $20,800
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