Part of: Starmer out by...?
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $207,715.
Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World
Notable Trades
14-wallet funded cluster
A 14-wallet funded cluster with a highly profitable lead wallet is buying Yes after a major price breakout in a politically meaningful market.
- 14 linked wallets share the same funder and are positioning around this event, totaling about $10.9K on this market.
- This wallet is up about $889K lifetime despite nearly 1,000 resolved bets.
- Yes has surged 70 points this week, and this trade adds at 88¢ into strong momentum.
$8,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%
Perfect-record bettor buying Yes
Sharp wallet with a perfect 15-0 resolved record and positive P&L is buying Yes despite already-high odds and strong recent momentum.
- This bettor has won 15 of 15 resolved bets and is up $2,155 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 88¢ after a major move, with the market up 14 points today and 68.5 points this week.
- The trade is part of a cross-market political thesis totaling about $4,446.
$3,097 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven bettor fading 90¢ Yes
Surfaced because a high-volume bettor with an 82% win record and positive lifetime P&L is taking a contrarian No position after a sharp Yes rally.
- This bettor has 839 resolved trades, wins 82% of them, and is up $4.1k lifetime.
- They are fading a major move: Yes is up 38 points today and they sold it at 90¢.
- The copy is Buy No at 10¢, a contrarian bet against a market pricing Yes at 90%.
$1,234 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor fading surge
A proven profitable wallet is fading the crowded 90¢ Yes move by effectively buying No at 10¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $6.3K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying No at 10¢ after Yes jumped 34 points in a day.
- The market is highly liquid, so this looks like a track-record signal rather than a random thin-market move.
$1,524 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Elite political sharp buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 81% win rate across 1,283 resolved positions and $722k lifetime profit is buying Yes on a plausible UK politics market.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $722k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 21¢, suggesting they see Starmer leaving by June 2026 as underpriced.
- The market has already moved toward Yes this week, up about 8 percentage points.
$3,629 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable cross-market political bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is adding a cross-market Starmer-out position into strong recent momentum.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $17.9K lifetime.
- They have put $9.8K across 3 related Starmer markets, suggesting a broader political thesis.
- Yes is up 16 points today and 30 points this week, and this buy came at 48¢.
$3,540 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Linked sharp buying YES
Linked-wallet activity plus a profitable 7-0 bettor buying into a fast-moving UK politics market makes this worth surfacing despite the modest single-trade size.
- This bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved bets and is up $146K lifetime.
- Three wallets tied to the same funder are backing this side, with this trade adding $3.3K at 45¢.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 22 points in the last day.
$5,860 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable wallet buying Yes
A 3-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets and adding $6k to Yes after early profits, amid strong recent momentum in this political market.
- A 3-day-old wallet is already placing repeat large bets, with $8k flagged across two alerts.
- The wallet is up $462 so far and has 4 existing positions, suggesting early conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- Yes has surged 41 points this week, and this buyer entered at 60¢ into strong momentum.
$6,013 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable cross-market political bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is adding a cross-market Starmer-out position into strong recent momentum.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $17.9K lifetime.
- They have put $9.8K across 3 related Starmer markets, suggesting a broader political thesis.
- Yes is up 16 points today and 30 points this week, and this buy came at 48¢.
$2,549 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
3-wallet funded cluster
A recurring 3-wallet funded cluster is buying Yes on a politically meaningful market with strong recent momentum, though the visible wallet’s standalone track record is modest.
- Three wallets funded by the same source are positioning the same way here.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 13.5 points today and 26 points this week.
- This is a fresh re-entry at 43¢ after the wallet previously closed a Yes position around 41¢.
$1,720 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%
Top Holders
- 0xb8a7...7674 — Outcome 64622848, $101,598 (68% win rate)
- 0xd21f...e03f — Outcome 64622848, $73,385 (100% win rate)
- 0xfb51...742d — Outcome 64622848, $67,218 (71% win rate)
- 0x5f17...519e — Outcome 64622848, $52,647 (90% win rate)
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 64622848, $45,228 (69% win rate)
- 0x63d4...a2f1 — Outcome 64622848, $27,627 (92% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 64622848, $24,381 (72% win rate)
- 0x1057...9ea5 — Outcome 64622848, $23,712
- 0xf1fc...0ec1 — Outcome 64622848, $23,129 (73% win rate)
- 0x3bef...d6e2 — Outcome 64622848, $21,182 (100% win rate)
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