Part of: Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,625.

Categories: World, Elections, Global Elections, Politics, Colombia Election, Colombia

Notable Trades

81% winner cross-market buyer

Sharp high-volume bettor with an 81% historical hit rate is adding a fresh Yes position across related Colombian election markets despite modest recent drift lower.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 220 bets, making the wallet worth following despite lifetime P&L being negative.
They bought $3.6K of Yes at 87¢ after previously closing a cheaper Yes position, signaling fresh conviction rather than simple profit-taking.
The wallet has put $10.3K across 2 related election markets, suggesting a broader thesis on this race.

$3,625 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%