Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $19,607.
Notable Trades
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
A wallet with an extraordinary 99% win rate sold Yes in a very thin Slovenian election market, which translates to buying No around 67¢ with nearly $20k of conviction.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades with 531 wins and just 7 losses
- They put nearly $20k into a thin market with only $4.2k of 24-hour volume
- Selling Yes at 33¢ is equivalent to buying No at 67¢, a clear bet against the current 72¢ favorite
$19,607 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $445,319
- 0x0ce6...9469 — No, $65,968
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Yes, $41,789 (68% win rate)
- 0x39ed...b5de — No, $16,921
- 0xd7ea...33f7 — No, $11,303
- 0xabd4...cf34 — Yes, $8,319
- 0x211e...35dd — Yes, $6,953 (89% win rate)
- 0xff2a...f7d7 — No, $6,366
- 0x39df...644b — Yes, $4,772 (52% win rate)
- 0x1e11...27dc — No, $4,500
