What does this Spider-Man: Brand New Day prediction market cover?

This market predicts whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day will be the top-grossing movie of 2026 on Box Office Mojo’s domestic calendar gross chart.

How will the winning movie be determined?

The market resolves using the film title with the highest 2026 domestic gross in the “Gross” column on Box Office Mojo’s 2026 yearly chart once December 31 data is available.

Do international box office numbers count for this market?

No. This market is based on domestic calendar gross only, meaning grosses outside the domestic market and outside the 2026 calendar year do not count.

When does the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market resolve?

The listed resolution date is December 31, 2026, though final resolution depends on Box Office Mojo publishing the relevant year-end data.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $4,806 in smart money and 2 smart money signals, including recent alerts from high win-rate or profitable movie bettors buying Yes.

Part of: Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day will finish as the highest-grossing movie of 2026 based on Box Office Mojo’s domestic calendar gross rankings. It resolves after December 31, 2026 data is available, counting only U.S. domestic gross earned during the 2026 calendar year. PolySpotter is tracking $4,806 in smart money and 2 smart money signals on this market.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,321.

Categories: Culture, Movies, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

82% win-rate movie bettor

A highly profitable 82% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Yes at 75¢, making the trader's track record the main signal despite modest size.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $721K lifetime.
They have traded 38 markets across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
They bought Yes at 75¢ after the market moved up 9 points today.

$1,007 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% winner buying Yes

Surfacing because this is a proven sharp wallet with an 82% win rate, $721k lifetime profit, and a long record of successful cross-market trading buying Yes despite already-high odds.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $721k lifetime.
They have traded 31 related events across 37 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
The $3.8k buy is large for recent activity and follows a 7.5-point weekly move upward.

$3,799 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable new repeat bettor

A young repeat bettor with early profit is taking a fresh Yes position despite the market drifting lower.

This 28-day-old wallet has already put $38.3k into flagged bets and is up $5.2k.
They bought Yes at 55¢, showing fresh conviction despite the market being down 4% this week.
The market is quiet today with only $659 traded in 24h, so this $1.5k buy stands out.

$1,515 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%