Part of: What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?

Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,087.

Categories: Trump, Culture, Mentions, Politics, Trump Speech

Notable Trades

Whale-sized No bet in thin market

A large No position dominates this thin market, making it a notable high-conviction trade despite the wallet's lack of a clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • The $1,087 No bet was over 26 times the detected 24-hour volume in a thin order book.
  • The trader has placed $22.9M across 196 markets, showing substantial experience, though a 60% win rate is not clearly exceptional at an average winning price of 86%.
  • No was bought at 74¢ and has since risen to about 86%, reinforcing the direction of the trade.

$1,087 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0x69b3...14f8 Outcome 17477582, $431
  2. 0xd056...f1be Outcome 17477582, $270 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xcc7c...1d18 Outcome 17477582, $119 (11% win rate)
  4. 0x1cfc...2111 Outcome 17477582, $91
  5. 0x7975...d3f7 Outcome 17477582, $65
  6. 0x54da...43a9 Outcome 17477582, $57
  7. 0x9a94...d5f9 Outcome 17477582, $50
  8. 0x0437...30f4 Outcome 17477582, $39 (56% win rate)
  9. 0xac16...6c6a Outcome 17477582, $30
  10. 0x7e08...3ca0 Outcome 11594203, $26

Related Theses

Iran blockade ends in September

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US-Iran talks by late April

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Iran peace deal likely

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Iran leadership change delayed until 2027

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France England or Spain wins

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They’ll beat it by August 13

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Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?

ResolvedWhat will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?$1,087 tracked1 signalTrumpCultureMentionsPoliticsTrump Speech

Trump is scheduled to hold a cabinet meeting on July 31, 2026 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ytbAVpDBXs&t=62s). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during the cabinet meeting scheduled for July 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's cabinet meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Notable Trades

Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?

26d ago

$1,087 on No at 74¢

Related Theses

Iran blockade ends in September
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US-Iran talks by late April
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US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…
Iran peace deal likely
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Iran leadership change delayed until 2027
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Iran leadership change by Dece…NoIran leadership change by June…
France England or Spain wins
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They’ll beat it by August 13
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MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June
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US x Iran ceasefire extended b…US x Iran ceasefire extended b…
Starmer exits in June 2026
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Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
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