Cross-Market Thesis
“Cross-Market Thesis”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?, and 8 more are correlated outcomes, committing $30,418 to this thesis across 11 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0xb100457% win rate
Total
$30,418
Markets
11
Positions
- 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$2,520 @ 50¢
- 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$1,614 @ 81¢
- 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3,906 @ 81¢
- 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$2,706 @ 53¢
- 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$4,254 @ 60¢
- 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1,849 @ 88¢
- 7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$5,001 @ 72¢
- 8US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$5,349 @ 82¢
- 9US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1,038 @ 56¢
- 10US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$1,102 @ 66¢
- 11US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1,079 @ 33¢