Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,195.
Categories: Politics, Hungary Election, Global Elections, Hungary, Elections
Notable Trades
New wallet election whale
A 6-day-old wallet has already made nearly $10k in flagged bets and just put on a roughly $5k position in this election market amid a sharp price breakout, suggesting real conviction worth watching.
- A 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts with nearly $10k flagged in total.
- This trader effectively added to a bullish position in Yes and helped drive a 51-point move in the market.
- The bet went through in a market with only about $12k of liquidity, so a roughly $5k swing shows meaningful conviction.
$5,000 on Yes
4-wallet Yes cluster
Four wallets piled into Yes for $13k during a 54x volume spike, including a high-volume cross-market trader and a brand-new wallet, pushing into a relatively thin book before the price moved up to 78¢.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $13.1k in a short burst, a strong coordinated directional signal.
- The market saw a 54x volume spike and Yes jumped from entries as low as 55¢-64¢ to 78¢.
- One wallet has traded 102 related markets across 47 events and is up $731k lifetime, adding some follow-worthy context to the cluster.
$13,079 on Yes
Profitable political macro trader
A highly active and profitable political trader sold Yes at 56¢, which translates to a copyable No buy around 44¢, offering a way to follow a proven cross-market bettor's bearish view.
- This bettor has won 68% of 762 resolved markets and is up about $864k lifetime
- The trade leans against a falling market: Yes is down 13 points in 1 day and 22.5 points in 1 week
- Selling Yes at 56¢ is equivalent to buying No at 44¢, a meaningful bearish position in a liquid election market
$4,195 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable political grinder
A highly active and profitable political trader with 762 resolved bets bought Yes at 72¢ in a moderately thin Hungarian election market, suggesting informed conviction despite only a mid-level composite score.
- This bettor has won 68% of 762 resolved trades and is up about $864k overall
- They trade across 57 events and 83 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
- The $1.9k buy is about 21% of this market's 24h volume, a meaningful size in a market trading around 71-72¢
$1,923 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0x94c4...43ca — Outcome 10749509, $7,359 (90% win rate)
- 0x1063...eb0a — Outcome 10749509, $5,341
- 0xa583...b44b — Outcome 69555862, $3,457
- 0x1ee9...f6ea — Outcome 10749509, $1,729
- 0xa7fe...245e — Outcome 69555862, $970
- 0xc8c7...3726 — Outcome 10749509, $811
- 0x3a37...141a — Outcome 10749509, $752 (61% win rate)
- 0xf1dc...db61 — Outcome 69555862, $742
- 0x1b82...034d — Outcome 69555862, $614
- 0x8cb6...dfe8 — Outcome 10749509, $608
