Part of: Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
This Polymarket market asks whether Vladimir Putin will cease to be President of Russia at any point before the stated June 30, 2027 deadline. The supplied metadata does not include live Yes/No odds; it shows $4,505 in tracked smart money and two recent signals scaling into No. The exchange metadata lists a resolution timestamp of December 31, 2026, which differs from the question’s stated deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,505.
Categories: putin, Geopolitics, Ukraine, Politics, World, Russia, Earn 4%
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor scales into No
A profitable bettor with a positive track record added $10,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite modest supporting signals.
- Added $10,000 to an existing No position, making this a roughly $22,000 conviction bet.
- The wallet is up $24,713 lifetime with a 71% win rate, though that record spans only seven resolved bets.
- The trade was over nine times the market's reported $1,082 in 24-hour volume.
$4,505 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable bettor scales into No
A profitable bettor with a positive track record added $10,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite modest supporting signals.
- Added $10,000 to an existing No position, making this a roughly $22,000 conviction bet.
- The wallet is up $24,713 lifetime with a 71% win rate, though that record spans only seven resolved bets.
- The trade was over nine times the market's reported $1,082 in 24-hour volume.
$10,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xe258...d084 — No, $54,478 (75% win rate)
- 0x1496...ee6f — No, $46,207 (100% win rate)
- 0x07a9...32c8 — No, $18,103 (42% win rate)
- 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $12,500
- 0x7878...75f3 — No, $12,382
- 0xcf07...c770 — Yes, $12,000 (30% win rate)
- 0x08c9...a2ef — Yes, $11,552 (96% win rate)
- 0x8d19...be54 — Yes, $10,962
- 0xf1c4...d965 — Yes, $10,116 (75% win rate)
- 0x0eb3...a75f — Yes, $10,000
Related Theses
Iran leadership remains unchanged
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Putin exits in early 2027
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