What is the Putin out prediction market asking?

The market asks whether Vladimir Putin will cease to be President of Russia for any period between market creation and June 30, 2027.

What would make the market resolve Yes?

It resolves Yes if Putin resigns, is removed, or is otherwise effectively displaced from the presidency. An announcement of resignation or removal before the market ends can trigger immediate resolution.

What happens if Putin remains president through the deadline?

The market resolves No if Putin does not cease to be President of Russia under the market’s specified resolution rules.

What is the current smart money view on Putin staying in office?

The market has $1,151 in tracked smart money and one recorded smart money signal. Recent alerts report profitable bettors scaling into No, indicating activity favoring Putin remaining president.

When does the Putin presidency market resolve?

The market question references June 30, 2027, while the supplied listing metadata shows a resolution timestamp of December 31, 2026 at 18:30 UTC. Review the exchange’s final rules and date before trading.

Part of: Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

This prediction market asks whether Vladimir Putin will cease to be President of Russia at any point by June 30, 2027. It resolves Yes if his resignation or removal is announced before the deadline; otherwise, it resolves No. The market currently has $1,151 in tracked smart money, with recent signals favoring No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,876.

Categories: putin, Geopolitics, Ukraine, Politics, World, Russia, Earn 4%

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor backs Putin staying

A proven bettor with a meaningful 38-point edge is making a fresh bearish trade on Putin leaving office, though the position is modest and cross-market signal is limited.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades at an average entry price of 37%, implying a substantial edge.
The $1,151 trade effectively backs No at 89¢, consistent with the market’s recent drift toward No.
The wallet previously closed a Yes position, making this bearish positioning more meaningful than routine profit-taking.

$1,151 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable bettor scales into No

A profitable bettor with a positive track record added $10,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite modest supporting signals.

Added $10,000 to an existing No position, making this a roughly $22,000 conviction bet.
The wallet is up $24,713 lifetime with a 71% win rate, though that record spans only seven resolved bets.
The trade was over nine times the market's reported $1,082 in 24-hour volume.

$5,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettor scales into No

A profitable bettor with a positive track record added $10,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite modest supporting signals.

Added $10,000 to an existing No position, making this a roughly $22,000 conviction bet.
The wallet is up $24,713 lifetime with a 71% win rate, though that record spans only seven resolved bets.
The trade was over nine times the market's reported $1,082 in 24-hour volume.

$4,505 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettor scales into No

A profitable bettor with a positive track record added $10,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite modest supporting signals.

Added $10,000 to an existing No position, making this a roughly $22,000 conviction bet.
The wallet is up $24,713 lifetime with a 71% win rate, though that record spans only seven resolved bets.
The trade was over nine times the market's reported $1,082 in 24-hour volume.

$10,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%