Part of: Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

This prediction market asks whether Vladimir Putin will cease to be President of Russia by June 30, 2027. It resolves Yes if he resigns or is removed for any period covered by the market; the supplied metadata lists a resolution date of December 31, 2026, and recent smart money activity has favored No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,725.

Categories: putin, Geopolitics, Ukraine, Politics, World, Russia, Earn 4%

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor scales into No

A profitable bettor with a positive track record added $10,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite modest supporting signals.

  • Added $10,000 to an existing No position, making this a roughly $22,000 conviction bet.
  • The wallet is up $24,713 lifetime with a 71% win rate, though that record spans only seven resolved bets.
  • The trade was over nine times the market's reported $1,082 in 24-hour volume.

$5,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettor scales into No

A profitable bettor with a positive track record added $10,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite modest supporting signals.

  • Added $10,000 to an existing No position, making this a roughly $22,000 conviction bet.
  • The wallet is up $24,713 lifetime with a 71% win rate, though that record spans only seven resolved bets.
  • The trade was over nine times the market's reported $1,082 in 24-hour volume.

$4,505 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettor scales into No

A profitable bettor with a positive track record added $10,000 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite modest supporting signals.

  • Added $10,000 to an existing No position, making this a roughly $22,000 conviction bet.
  • The wallet is up $24,713 lifetime with a 71% win rate, though that record spans only seven resolved bets.
  • The trade was over nine times the market's reported $1,082 in 24-hour volume.

$10,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe258...d084 No, $54,478 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x1496...ee6f No, $46,207 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x07a9...32c8 No, $18,103 (42% win rate)
  4. 0x21ff...0d71 Yes, $12,500
  5. 0x7878...75f3 No, $12,382
  6. 0xcf07...c770 Yes, $12,000 (30% win rate)
  7. 0x8d19...be54 Yes, $10,962
  8. 0xf1c4...d965 Yes, $10,116 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x0eb3...a75f Yes, $10,000
  10. 0x7b05...6180 Yes, $7,700 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran leadership remains unchanged

Covers 2 related markets

Putin exits in early 2027

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Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

144dPutin out as President of Russia by...?$19,725 tracked3 signalsputinGeopoliticsUkrainePoliticsWorldRussiaEarn 4%
Yes
13¢
No
88¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
89¢
86¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

2h ago

$5,220 on No at 84¢

84¢88¢4¢

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

4d ago

$4,505 on No at 84¢

84¢88¢4¢

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

20d ago

$10,000 on No at 84¢

84¢88¢4¢

Related Theses