Part of: Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
This market tracks whether Somaliland will fail to hold its next House of Representatives election by December 31, 2026, resolving to “No election before 2027” if no vote takes place by the deadline. PolySpotter follows the live Polymarket odds and smart money activity, with $5,778 tracked and 1 recent signal in this market.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,726.
Categories: World Elections, Elections, Politics, Global Elections, somalia, Somaliland, International Election Props
Notable Trades
74% serial political bettor
Surfaced because a highly experienced cross-market political bettor with a 74% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $5.8k alongside a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 1,072 resolved bets and is up $36.6k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 35 events, suggesting a repeatable political-market edge.
- A $5.8k buy came during a 2,145x volume spike, reinforcing the move toward Yes at 87¢.
$5,778 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Brand-new niche politics whale
Brand-new wallet made a nearly $6k high-conviction bet on an obscure political election market, large relative to recent activity despite no track record.
- A wallet created 13 minutes earlier put nearly $6k on this obscure Somaliland election market.
- The trade was over 2x the market’s recent 24h volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction.
- Entry at 87¢ means this is a high-confidence favorite bet with limited but clear upside.
$5,948 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa58d...b9b8 — No, $20,780 (40% win rate)
- 0xd8d5...8935 — Yes, $8,607 (74% win rate)
- 0x2016...6dae — Yes, $6,836
- 0x7ac8...77cd — Yes, $3,618 (43% win rate)
- 0x6f67...102c — No, $1,083
- 0x1f9e...4f1a — Yes, $1,044 (39% win rate)
- 0xdda5...c82a — Yes, $1,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x2177...3fb4 — Yes, $727
- 0x8f13...daae — No, $464
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $448
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