Part of: Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
This prediction market asks whether Ilie Bolojan will cease to be Prime Minister of Romania at any point before June 30, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if an official resignation or removal is announced before the deadline, even if it takes effect later; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $1,371 in smart money activity, with recent high-win-rate traders buying No.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,880.
Categories: Romania, World, Politics
Notable Trades
Proven 77% winner buys NO
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 77% win rate across 1,000 resolved trades with positive lifetime P&L and bought No at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades across 1,000 bets and is up $16.6K lifetime.
- They bought $1.1K of No at 71¢, adding a clear directional view on a political market.
- Yes has fallen 43% over the past week, and this trade is aligned with that momentum.
$1,371 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Proven 77% winner buys NO
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 77% win rate across 1,000 resolved trades with positive lifetime P&L and bought No at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades across 1,000 bets and is up $16.6K lifetime.
- They bought $1.1K of No at 71¢, adding a clear directional view on a political market.
- Yes has fallen 43% over the past week, and this trade is aligned with that momentum.
$1,083 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
88% winner buying No
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a political market despite the alert’s low composite score.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3,280 lifetime.
- They put $1,425 on No, about 30% of the market’s last 24h volume.
- Entry at 71¢ suggests they see the resignation-removal risk as overpriced.
$1,425 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Yes, $53,935 (58% win rate)
- 0x41fd...6314 — No, $11,875
- 0x74f1...16a8 — No, $8,537 (73% win rate)
- 0xd6b6...342b — No, $3,523 (43% win rate)
- 0x0f2b...665a — No, $3,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x645a...fd84 — No, $2,821 (63% win rate)
- 0xdbd0...edc4 — No, $2,755
- 0xf869...e2b4 — Yes, $2,573 (43% win rate)
- 0xbc60...af79 — No, $2,411 (66% win rate)
- 0x7c7b...9483 — No, $2,400
