Part of: Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

This prediction market asks whether Xi Jinping will physically enter U.S. terrestrial or maritime territory before the end of 2026. It resolves on December 31, 2026, and smart money activity currently tracked by PolySpotter totals $7,154 across 1 signal, including a recent Yes-side push from multiple wallets.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,040.

Categories: China, Trump, Geopolitics, Politics

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Yes push

Three wallets bought $7.2k of Yes in a quiet geopolitics market, led by a large profitable trader with a long track record.

  • Three wallets bought the same side within one minute, totaling $7.2k against only $1.1k of 24h volume.
  • The largest buyer has 927 resolved bets and is up $117k lifetime, adding weight to the move.
  • Entry around 75¢ suggests they are confident Xi visits the US before 2027 despite the long timeline.

$7,154 on Yes

Profitable 994-bet veteran

Surfaced because a long-history profitable wallet with a 79% win rate is buying Yes despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 994 resolved bets and is up $51K lifetime.
  • They bought nearly $1.9K of Yes at 69¢ on a long-dated geopolitical market.
  • The trade was large versus the scanner’s quiet-volume baseline, suggesting real conviction.

$1,886 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4004...c40b — Yes, $37,068 (86% win rate)
  2. 0xac29...36c7 — No, $11,111
  3. 0x9c16...a981 — No, $11,000 (75% win rate)
  4. 0x2f33...0479 — No, $7,134
  5. 0xb79d...1ad9 — Yes, $6,722
  6. 0xa9cf...c8b9 — No, $6,000
  7. 0x0ead...9572 — Yes, $5,607 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x6d8c...99f6 — No, $3,423
  9. 0xdb8d...aa15 — No, $2,829
  10. 0xd600...b66e — No, $2,669

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

224dWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$9,040 tracked2 signalsChinaTrumpGeopoliticsPolitics
Yes
88¢
No
12¢

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
93¢
82¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

6d ago

$7,154 on Yes at 75¢

75¢→88¢↑13¢

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

7d ago

$1,886 on Yes at 69¢

69¢→88¢↑19¢