Part of: Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
This prediction market tracks whether Gadi Eizenkot will be the next officially appointed and sworn-in Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. The election is scheduled for October 27, 2026, with the market resolving after the next government is formed; live Polymarket odds and smart money activity are shown on the market page.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,230.
Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel, Geopolitics, Elections, Global Elections, World, Trump-Netanyahu, Main Election, rewards 100, 4.5, 100 Deprec, Israel Election, rewards 100, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Serial sharp bettor re-enters No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and $1.12M P&L is re-entering No with an $8,853 position despite the market moving below their average entry.
- This bettor has won 84% of 170 resolved trades and is up $1.12M lifetime.
- They placed $8,853 on No across two buys, with an estimated average entry near 59%.
- The wallet has traded across 47 events and 62 markets, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$8,853 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
81% winner fades Yes
Profitable 81% win-rate wallet is taking the No side while also positioning across three related Israel PM markets.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $5,071 lifetime.
- They are positioning across 3 related markets with $10,283 total exposure.
- Selling Yes at 40¢ means they are effectively buying No at 60¢.
$1,237 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Elite cross-market political bettor
Sharp wallet with an 86% win rate and $440k lifetime profit is buying No while showing a strong serial cross-market pattern across political markets.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $440k lifetime.
- They have traded 77 markets across 39 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 62¢ implies they see Eizenkot not becoming PM as underpriced.
$2,781 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
86% winner exits YES
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate is selling Yes after a profitable run-up, suggesting reduced confidence in this outcome rather than fresh accumulation.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $2.4K lifetime.
- They sold Yes at 36¢ after entering around 26¢, cutting exposure after a 9-point weekly rally.
- They are also active across two related election markets, suggesting a broader view.
$1,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Brand-new political bettor
A brand-new wallet made a $4k Yes buy on a political market with recent upward momentum, suggesting possible informed conviction despite no resolved track record.
- A wallet only 8 hours old put $4,000 on Yes, a meaningful first bet for a new account.
- The market has already moved up about 8 points in the past day, and this buy continues that momentum.
- The $4,000 entry at 38¢ implies the bettor sees a sizable mispricing in a long-dated political outcome.
$4,000 on Yes
Sharp bettor buying NO
Sharp wallet with an 89% resolved win rate and positive P&L is buying No on a plausible political market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $4.2K lifetime.
- They beat market-implied odds by 21 points across 18 resolved bets.
- The $3K buy is a clear No position in a high-volume Israeli politics market.
$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $295,057
- 0xcffe...cad8 — Yes, $55,550
- 0x7447...a16d — Yes, $48,339 (57% win rate)
- 0x00ec...8240 — Yes, $38,315 (100% win rate)
- 0xa8b9...6b7c — Yes, $14,893
- 0x7e35...1a6c — Yes, $13,962 (45% win rate)
- 0xc554...dc81 — Yes, $12,702
- 0x2f03...ec6a — Yes, $12,367 (42% win rate)
- 0xadd9...eab9 — Yes, $11,770
- 0x4c2d...f8ae — No, $11,215 (42% win rate)
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