Part of: Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,664.

Categories: Trump, Politics

Notable Trades

Profitable wallet moved thin market

Profitable high-volume wallet made a $2.2k Yes buy that moved a previously quiet market sharply from around 75¢ to 99¢.

  • This bettor is up $125k lifetime across $3.5M of Polymarket volume.
  • Their $2.2k Yes buy was huge versus prior activity and helped push the market up 35 points.
  • Entry at 75¢ has already moved to 99¢, so this is only attractive on a pullback.

$2,164 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

93% winner caught breakout

A highly profitable sharp wallet bought Yes at 40¢ before the market surged to 99¢, combining a strong track record with major price impact.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $51K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 40¢ before the market rocketed to 99¢.
  • The trade moved a quiet market sharply, suggesting strong conviction ahead of wider volume.

$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfd9c...be4d Outcome 26410462, $3,725
  2. 0xb1d1...09ce Outcome 26410462, $3,330
  3. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 26410462, $3,315 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x5b37...0309 Outcome 26410462, $2,000
  5. 0xcea5...6a74 Outcome 26410462, $1,033
  6. 0x6a20...1bc8 Outcome 26410462, $1,000
  7. 0xbda5...ee3a Outcome 26410462, $240
  8. 0x4be7...8e91 Outcome 26410462, $100 (95% win rate)
  9. 0x79f7...d24a Outcome 26410462, $79
  10. 0x6f64...32b3 Outcome 26410462, $50

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Iran deal after mid-June

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Trump lifts blockade by April

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Israel airspace closures will be temporary

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Iran ceasefire unlikely before August

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Iran withdraws in early August

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US-Iran meeting will occur

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Ceasefire holds, then collapses

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Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?

ResolvedWho will Trump publicly praise by June 30?$4,664 tracked2 signalsTrumpPolitics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Notable Trades

Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?

59d ago

$2,164 on Yes at 75¢

Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?

59d ago

$2,500 on Yes at 40¢

Related Theses