Cross-Market Thesis

US-Iran ceasefire delayed past August

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $23,972 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x9592a73% win rate

Total

$23,972

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
    $1,173 @ 75¢
  2. 2US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
    $20,000 @ 77¢
  3. 3US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
    $1,701 @ 36¢
  4. 4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
    $1,098 @ 36¢
US-Iran ceasefire delayed past August — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter