Part of: Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy will win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, based on the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s official announcement. The market is scheduled to resolve on October 10, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $4,173 in smart money activity with 1 recent signal.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,173.
Categories: Awards, Politics, Geopolitics, World
Notable Trades
Quiet-market contrarian buyer
A lightly proven profitable wallet made a $4.2k contrarian Yes-equivalent bet that dwarfs normal daily volume in a quiet long-dated Nobel market.
- This bettor is taking a contrarian Yes position worth over 5x the market’s normal daily volume.
- The wallet is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and up $4.2k, though the track record is still small.
- Entry at 12¢ implies they see far more upside than the current 7¢ market price.
$4,173 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $46,850
- 0x4252...5061 — Yes, $14,449
- 0xb4f7...89d6 — Yes, $2,829
- 0x4e25...d7a7 — Yes, $2,615 (65% win rate)
- 0x4d01...1645 — Yes, $2,410
- 0x7e5e...7315 — Yes, $1,791
- 0x1934...0a4b — Yes, $1,666
- 0x49ac...2f1e — Yes, $1,546 (44% win rate)
- 0x4cf2...e31c — No, $1,429 (78% win rate)
- 0xc6a2...d076 — Yes, $1,350 (28% win rate)
