Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
4 signals across 1 market · $59,357 tracked · resolves Oct 10, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with the current child market focused on whether Donald Trump will win. PolySpotter has flagged $46,007 in smart money activity, including a pro cross-market fade and proven sharp buying NO, giving traders context on how experienced wallets are positioning.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Pro cross-market fade
A highly active cross-market trader with a strong long-run record bought nearly $19k of No amid a major volume spike, fading Trump's 2026 Nobel Peace Prize odds after a recent price rise.
$18,980Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.0 - Profitable sharp buys NO
A highly profitable bettor with a 77% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit bought $8.9k of No despite only a modest signal score.
$8,900Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 2.0 - Million-profit sharp bettor
Surfaced due to a proven sharp wallet with 77% wins across 1,074 resolved bets and $1.8M lifetime profit buying No despite only a modest signal score.
$4,450Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 2.0 - Proven sharp buying NO
Surfaced despite weak volume-spike signal because a highly proven wallet with 82% wins and +$653k lifetime P&L bought a large No position.
$27,027Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 1.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5188fa…c804$27,027 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xc6dd72…4b9f$18,980 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x8f7a4b…db40$13,350 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
The event hub tracks prediction-market pricing for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently through the market on whether Donald Trump will win. Odds can move as diplomatic events, nominations, media coverage, and smart money activity change trader expectations.
Is smart money betting on Trump to win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show bearish signals on the Trump outcome, including a “pro cross-market fade” and “proven sharp buying NO.” That suggests some tracked experienced wallets are positioning against Trump winning this market.
How much smart money has PolySpotter tracked on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $46,007 in smart money activity across the Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 event, based on 2 smart money signals.
When does the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market resolve?
The event is expected to resolve after the Norwegian Nobel Committee announces the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner, with the listed resolution date by October 10, 2026.
How does this Nobel Peace Prize prediction market resolve if there are multiple winners?
According to the market rules, if multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the event resolves to a single winner using the stated precedence order for listed names, including Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, and Elon Musk.