Part of: James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

This Polymarket market asks whether James Fishback will receive less than 10% of valid votes in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. The primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking smart money activity, including $1,576 in tracked smart money and 1 recent signal.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,576.

Categories: US Election, Politics, Elections, Governor Primaries, August 18 Primaries, Primaries, USA Election, Florida, Midterms

Notable Trades

Profitable serial politics bettor

Profitable serial political bettor is adding to a No position on a thin market, but the move has already run well above their 46¢ entry.

  • This bettor has traded across 43 related markets and is up $238k lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing No position in a thin market with only $3.6k traded in the last day.
  • Their 46¢ entry has already moved to 64¢, so the best copy zone is below the current price.

$1,576 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc8b9...b836 No, $7,103 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xe8c4...395d Yes, $3,882 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x69e7...d3b0 Yes, $2,817 (54% win rate)
  4. 0xb1ca...1705 No, $2,131 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xf6aa...178e No, $1,417 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x1c14...0869 Yes, $1,214 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x4a2b...af20 Yes, $1,000 (49% win rate)
  8. 0xd12f...e85a Yes, $966 (64% win rate)
  9. 0xa218...94cd No, $795
  10. 0xac4a...bf1e Yes, $643

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Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

9dJames Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?$1,576 tracked1 signalUS ElectionPoliticsElectionsGovernor PrimariesAugust 18 PrimariesPrimariesUSA ElectionFloridaMidterms
Yes
28¢
No
72¢

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Price History — “No
85¢
75¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

23d ago

$1,576 on No at 46¢

46¢72¢26¢

Related Theses