Part of: Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
This prediction market tracks whether Pete Hegseth will leave or otherwise cease to be part of the Trump administration before 2027. It resolves “Yes” if a resignation, removal, or departure is announced by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter currently tracks $1,511 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,511.
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial political trader is buying Yes on a relatively quiet market, with a recurring linked-wallet funding pattern adding corroboration.
- This bettor is up $1.19M lifetime across 1,395 resolved markets.
- They are a major cross-market trader, with $8.0M deployed across 123 events.
- The 34¢ entry is meaningful on a quiet market with only $5.5k traded in the last 24 hours.
$1,511 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0x60a9...5a71 — No, $12,290 (49% win rate)
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $8,626 (77% win rate)
- 0x44c1...ebc1 — Yes, $4,221 (58% win rate)
- 0x993c...6787 — Yes, $2,000 (40% win rate)
- 0xc406...07d9 — No, $1,500
- 0xf9f2...5cba — No, $1,388 (37% win rate)
- 0x3269...1e7c — No, $1,173 (43% win rate)
- 0x1ee9...197f — No, $1,167 (69% win rate)
- 0x5446...18f6 — Yes, $1,129
- 0xc94b...fd9b — No, $1,018
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