What does the Spain PP + Vox majority market predict?

It predicts whether the People’s Party (PP) and Vox will win a combined 176 or more seats in Spain’s Congress of Deputies following the 2026 general election.

What seat total counts as a majority?

The market resolves to Yes if PP and Vox win at least 176 of the 350 seats. Any combined total below 176 resolves to No.

When is Spain’s 2026 general election scheduled?

The election is scheduled for November 29, 2026. The market’s stated resolution rules include a November 30, 2027 deadline if the results are not definitively known by then.

What are the current Polymarket odds for a PP–Vox majority?

The supplied market metadata does not include current Yes or No prices, so the latest odds cannot be stated here.

Part of: Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

This Polymarket asks whether Spain’s People’s Party (PP) and Vox will win at least 176 of the Congress of Deputies’ 350 seats in the election scheduled for November 29, 2026. Current odds were not included in the supplied market details; the page reports $1,034 in tracked smart money and one signal.

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the People’s Party (PP) and Vox win a combined total of 176 seats or more in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted where they are attributed to the specified party. If a listed party contests the election under a regional designation, all seats and votes attributed to that designation will count toward the listed party. For example, the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) will be treated as a regional designation of PSOE. If a listed party contests as part of a coalition, only seats won by candidates who were members of the listed party on election day will count toward that party. Except as provided above, seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,035.

Categories: Spain, World, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market bettor adds to Yes

A consistently active, profitable bettor added a sizable Yes position that was over five times the market's recent daily volume, though the wallet's record does not show a clear edge over its typical entry odds.

The bettor has 1,067 resolved positions, a 73% win rate, and $53,900 in reported profit.
The $4,001 buy was over five times the market's $769 daily volume, and adds to an existing $6,579 Yes position.
They entered at 88¢; the market is now at 92¢, with the election still far off.

$4,001 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Serial cross-market bettor, 82% wins

A proven cross-market trader with an 82% record added to an existing Yes position in a thinly traded political market.

This bettor has won 82% of 77 resolved trades and is up $90,724.
They added $1,034 to an existing Yes position at 85¢; the market is now at 92¢.
The trade was over 200 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume, though overall liquidity is about $17,900.

$1,034 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%