Part of: Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,835.
Categories: World, Berlin, Germany, Politics, Elections, World Elections, German Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor adds to Yes
A proven profitable bettor with a 77% win rate is adding to an already large Yes position in a thinly traded market.
- This bettor wins 77% of trades across 39 resolved positions and is up $36,822.
- They added $1,118 to an existing $8,087 Yes position at 45¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The trade was more than three times the market's 24-hour volume, despite the market resolving in 2026.
$1,718 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor adds to Yes
A proven profitable bettor with a 77% win rate is adding to an already large Yes position in a thinly traded market.
- This bettor wins 77% of trades across 39 resolved positions and is up $36,822.
- They added $1,118 to an existing $8,087 Yes position at 45¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The trade was more than three times the market's 24-hour volume, despite the market resolving in 2026.
$1,118 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 58479848, $5,137 (94% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10434966, $3,872
- 0xf5e8...9fbd — Outcome 58479848, $1,050
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 58479848, $627
- 0x629b...995a — Outcome 10434966, $573 (53% win rate)
- 0xf03d...21fb — Outcome 58479848, $325
- 0xe432...934a — Outcome 58479848, $198 (75% win rate)
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 58479848, $190
- 0x43cb...84df — Outcome 58479848, $183
- 0x30fb...7db4 — Outcome 58479848, $110
Related Theses
AfD will win most seats
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Linke will lead Berlin election
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