Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,883.
Categories: World Elections, Global Elections, Elections, Politics, India, Main Election, Indian Elections
Notable Trades
New repeat whale buying Yes
A 6-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is taking a fresh $3.7k Yes position in a plausible politics market, though the track record is still short.
- This 6-day-old wallet is already placing repeat large bets, with $7.4k flagged across 4 positions.
- The wallet is up $3.8k so far, though only 2 resolved bets have finished.
- Entry at 53¢ suggests they see value in a near-even political market that has already moved up 5 points this week.
$3,680 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet backing Yes
Brand-new wallet is repeatedly deploying capital across related West Bengal election markets, including a fresh Yes buy near 49¢ amid recent upward price momentum.
- A wallet less than 2 days old has already made $7.1K in flagged political bets.
- The bettor bought Yes at 49¢, just below the current 50–51¢ market.
- AITC odds are up 6 points in the last day, so this trade is aligned with fresh momentum.
$2,204 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $193,286
- 0x73b9...7aa3 — No, $27,606
- 0x4c8c...e36f — Yes, $22,929
- 0xa656...0a64 — Yes, $20,862
- 0x23d8...0288 — Yes, $17,244 (100% win rate)
- 0xa022...77f8 — Yes, $16,927 (63% win rate)
- 0x5025...dd30 — Yes, $10,726 (60% win rate)
- 0x26ce...3242 — Yes, $9,740
- 0xa7a3...7739 — Yes, $9,633
- 0xb2ac...d6be — Yes, $9,388
